MLB · resolved market
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. NC Dinos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x674bc48e7a108a5a24c694854ce63fad589855f8fbd28cdb0438923b596efce3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NC Dinosof Hanwha Eagles, NC Dinos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,880
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,880 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Hanwha Eagles | 42c | 583.33$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed NC Dinos | 65c | 570.68$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.74 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Hanwha Eagles | 50c | 476.16$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.33 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64f3…34b6backed NC Dinos | 74c | 465.96$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.22 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a88…4e57backed Hanwha Eagles | 48c | 416.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked NC Dinos | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked NC Dinos | 66c | 294.13$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.34 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…3941backed Hanwha Eagles | 46c | 259.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.59 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…4b0dbacked Hanwha Eagles | 35c | 190.03$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Hanwha Eagles | 51c | 188.16$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.96 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked NC Dinos | 70c | 164.01$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed NC Dinos | 57c | 119.04$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.44 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed NC Dinos | 43c | 111.8$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.13 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed NC Dinos | 48c | 100.14$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.79 | 447 | 37.4%167 W · 280 L | -24.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed NC Dinos | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed NC Dinos | 55c | 92.85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.46 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked NC Dinos | 51c | 78.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.77 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Hanwha Eagles | 78c | 77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Hanwha Eagles | 34c | 72.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Hanwha Eagles | 36c | 60.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed NC Dinos | 61c | 54.02$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 157 | 40.1%63 W · 94 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Hanwha Eagles | 51c | 53.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed NC Dinos | 64c | 38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed NC Dinos | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bf…147fbacked Hanwha Eagles | 48c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…4e0ebacked NC Dinos | 67c | 29.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 174 | 60.9%106 W · 68 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Hanwha Eagles | 44c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Hanwha Eagles | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Hanwha Eagles | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed Hanwha Eagles | 50c | 21.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.