NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 234.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67d911a73dbc1bd97068b85c75d0a07d25f2a9c34d957cad0c4fb096723c4de3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,839
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,839 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 45c | 3,845$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.52 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Under | 45c | 1,700$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.27 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Under | 46c | 1,315$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.06 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 54c | 1,212$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.8 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…270cbacked Over | 57c | 874.16$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.16 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Under | 46c | 261$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.96 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fd…3a1cbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Over | 53c | 157.1$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.84 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 54c | 151$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.46 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5dd…b094backed Over | 57c | 115$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.45 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09e3…cf81backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 189 | 55%104 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2b…b6c5backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa43…5813backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f9…dd4fbacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…ad73backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Over | 53c | 58.33$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 53.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad5…6169backed Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2b…6a1dbacked Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x548b…8390backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbba2…eaa6backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 56c | 32.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0071…32dfbacked Over | 57c | 31.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ac…13d8backed Over | 57c | 31.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b82…b217backed Over | 54c | 24.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 246 | 45.9%113 W · 133 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 234.5this page
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Bulls won
- Spurs vs. BullsSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 232.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 235.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 236.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.