Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
California-San Diego Tritons vs. CSUN Matadors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x686cbff5ded45f2d7e440378cced3182670996e4aa145ffb4f318d65140e3d3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CSUN Matadorsof California-San Diego Tritons, CSUN Matadors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,460
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,896
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,460 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked CSUN Matadors | 77c | 2,556$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.3 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked CSUN Matadors | 70c | 1,741$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.71 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed California-San Diego Tritons | 3c | 1,656$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.05 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed California-San Diego Tritons | 19c | 1,236$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.17 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed CSUN Matadors | 45c | 1,173$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.59 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7c…b465backed California-San Diego Tritons | 58c | 1,129$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.76 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 62cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed California-San Diego Tritons | 58c | 644.83$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed California-San Diego Tritons | 4c | 620$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 253 | 25.3%64 W · 189 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 41c | 564$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.84 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked California-San Diego Tritons | 46c | 530.84$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.57 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…49b3backed California-San Diego Tritons | 44c | 515$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.47 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed California-San Diego Tritons | 39c | 430$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.41 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed California-San Diego Tritons | 37c | 380.73$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked California-San Diego Tritons | 27c | 379.15$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.19 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked CSUN Matadors | 48c | 368.25$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.46 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed CSUN Matadors | 42c | 361.17$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.48 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed California-San Diego Tritons | 20c | 356.39$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.21 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed CSUN Matadors | 63c | 323.16$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.15 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed CSUN Matadors | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked CSUN Matadors | 42c | 205.79$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.36 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed CSUN Matadors | 62c | 189.07$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.24 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed California-San Diego Tritons | 56c | 128$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.68 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed CSUN Matadors | 45c | 121.11$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.61 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed CSUN Matadors | 45c | 106.83$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.78 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed California-San Diego Tritons | 45c | 94$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.22 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 181 | 67.4%122 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked CSUN Matadors | 57c | 74$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed California-San Diego Tritons | 54c | 73.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed California-San Diego Tritons | 38c | 58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e46…75c2backed CSUN Matadors | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked CSUN Matadors | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed California-San Diego Tritons | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed CSUN Matadors | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked CSUN Matadors | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 45c | 32.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed CSUN Matadors | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed California-San Diego Tritons | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed California-San Diego Tritons | 43c | 26.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…c7fabacked California-San Diego Tritons | 58c | 19.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.