Lol · resolved market
LoL: Hooligans vs The Secret Club Esport (BO3) - EBL Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68898952fea8ad809a31c1f26a284ff1fde55dc68f06bf3cf54050cb59279b6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- The Secret Club Esportof Hooligans, The Secret Club Esport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,671
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,600
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,671 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed The Secret Club Esport | 76c | 2,656$2,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.52 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Hooligans | 24c | 1,695$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.37 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Hooligans | 12c | 469.86$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.06 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c98…59e2backed Hooligans | 23c | 427.04$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Hooligans | 21c | 181$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.12 | 549 | 34.8%191 W · 358 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e47…96c6backed The Secret Club Esport | 54c | 171$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.56 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +5.3wins | +0.23per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed The Secret Club Esport | 80c | 149.22$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 113 | 69%78 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Hooligans | 28c | 111.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Hooligans | 22c | 103.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Hooligans | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Hooligans | 26c | 88.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 181 | 65.7%119 W · 62 L | +23.7wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…764fbacked The Secret Club Esport | 78c | 79.37$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2888…f1a4backed Hooligans | 25c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 539 | 32.5%175 W · 364 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd673…2305backed The Secret Club Esport | 79c | 63.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked The Secret Club Esport | 79c | 62.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Hooligans | 45c | 51.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Hooligans | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 117 | 35%41 W · 76 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Hooligans | 46c | 47.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9d…6c84backed Hooligans | 46c | 42.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 344 | 38.7%133 W · 211 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4509…58aebacked The Secret Club Esport | 75c | 39.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 1,055 | 39.6%418 W · 637 L | -74.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d0…f87ebacked The Secret Club Esport | 67c | 35.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 399 | 40.4%161 W · 238 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed The Secret Club Esport | 72c | 30.44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 385 | 55.1%212 W · 173 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked The Secret Club Esport | 76c | 29.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 580 | 43.3%251 W · 329 L | -47.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked The Secret Club Esport | 54c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b78…5ce6backed The Secret Club Esport | 76c | 19.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.24per pick | 68cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.