Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
North Dakota Fighting Hawks vs. Kansas City Roos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x689584fdb7e57696984d3eeb8cfc8287fcbc228e66db00fd155d2dfc560a7ba0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Dakota Fighting Hawksof North Dakota Fighting Hawks, Kansas City Roos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,711
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,271
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,711 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kansas City Roos | 51c | 2,308$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.79 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Kansas City Roos | 57c | 2,078$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.99 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8049…1e6cbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 32c | 1,607$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.09 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 56c | 1,360$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.35 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 55c | 1,272$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.83 | 158 | 61.4%97 W · 61 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 34c | 764.39$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.41 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kansas City Roos | 30c | 562.43$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.53 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 29c | 341.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.14 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kansas City Roos | 35c | 250.94$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Kansas City Roos | 69c | 200$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Kansas City Roos | 20c | 189.27$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Kansas City Roos | 47c | 140$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.07 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Kansas City Roos | 19c | 129$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Kansas City Roos | 37c | 127.14$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.35 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 26c | 108.66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.17 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 32c | 47.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 45c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 181 | 29.3%53 W · 128 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Kansas City Roos | 69c | 28.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 120 | 34.2%41 W · 79 L | -13.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 69c | 28.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…fb77backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- North Dakota Fighting Hawks vs. Kansas City Roosthis page
- North Dakota Fighting Hawks vs. Kansas City Roos: O/U 149.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.