Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Jan Choinski vs Andres Andrade
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68a7e05b83b4f076c9e508669e68ac80343cc5d616d31a5f5a0394ddd1eb74b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jan Choinskiof Jan Choinski, Andres Andrade
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,448
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,869
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,448 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Andres Andrade | 25c | 1,060$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.24 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Jan Choinski | 71c | 988.27$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.43 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Andres Andrade | 30c | 441.95$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.22 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Jan Choinski | 75c | 325.26$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.9 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Andres Andrade | 31c | 292.93$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.59 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Jan Choinski | 77c | 244.45$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.76 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…bcfebacked Andres Andrade | 22c | 243.13$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 537 | 36.9%198 W · 339 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Andres Andrade | 15c | 240.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked Jan Choinski | 69c | 216.03$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.03 | 402 | 64.4%259 W · 143 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Andres Andrade | 23c | 206.65$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.53 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Andres Andrade | 8c | 195.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Andres Andrade | 10c | 172.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Andres Andrade | 8c | 165$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 678 | 38.3%260 W · 418 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Andres Andrade | 32c | 154$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Jan Choinski | 49c | 146$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.46 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Jan Choinski | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 252 | 57.9%146 W · 106 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Jan Choinski | 68c | 134.11$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.41 | 267 | 59.6%159 W · 108 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Jan Choinski | 69c | 131.88$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.88 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Andres Andrade | 32c | 124.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Andres Andrade | 33c | 117.65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Andres Andrade | 31c | 103.22$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Jan Choinski | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Andres Andrade | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 303 | 39.9%121 W · 182 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Jan Choinski | 73c | 66.21$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7067…38dbbacked Jan Choinski | 76c | 65.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Andres Andrade | 31c | 63.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Jan Choinski | 58c | 61.17$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Andres Andrade | 33c | 60.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…9a00backed Jan Choinski | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 201 | 58.7%118 W · 83 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…a181backed Andres Andrade | 32c | 43.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…68a3backed Jan Choinski | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 885 | 60.2%533 W · 352 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Andres Andrade | 31c | 41.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d75…26fbbacked Jan Choinski | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 163 | 58.9%96 W · 67 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Andres Andrade | 31c | 36.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Andres Andrade | 33c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…7889backed Jan Choinski | 74c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 560 | 70.7%396 W · 164 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Jan Choinski | 68c | 31.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Jan Choinski | 69c | 23.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 173 | 58.4%101 W · 72 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…5eeabacked Jan Choinski | 77c | 20.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 230 | 73.9%170 W · 60 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 78cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Jan Choinski | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 593 | 66.8%396 W · 197 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf3…8f91backed Jan Choinski | 77c | 18.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x305b…cd21backed Jan Choinski | 69c | 17.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 550 | 59.1%325 W · 225 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x157e…7acabacked Jan Choinski | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 261 | 69.3%181 W · 80 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.