Tennis · resolved market
ITF Caserta: Laura Pigossi vs Anastasia Tikhonova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68f541334b7170f8d7f3034b479a04010c5158d3617683a5ae2d17c00e7712dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Laura Pigossiof Laura Pigossi, Anastasia Tikhonova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,026
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,281
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,026 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Laura Pigossi | 77c | 4,694$3,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.37 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfb…84a6backed Anastasia Tikhonova | 25c | 4,291$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070 | 128 | 14.1%18 W · 110 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Anastasia Tikhonova | 19c | 2,105$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.95 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Laura Pigossi | 57c | 1,382$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.19 | 1,883 | 44.8%843 W · 1,040 L | +36.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Anastasia Tikhonova | 42c | 1,232$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.35 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Anastasia Tikhonova | 42c | 1,010$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.24 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74bd…d371backed Anastasia Tikhonova | 13c | 820.44$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.23 | 421 | 25.7%108 W · 313 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Laura Pigossi | 78c | 650$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Laura Pigossi | 59c | 535.92$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.73 | 1,881 | 45.7%860 W · 1,021 L | +51.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…e44ebacked Anastasia Tikhonova | 33c | 453.24$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.02 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Laura Pigossi | 71c | 289.09$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.11 | 643 | 65.9%424 W · 219 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Anastasia Tikhonova | 40c | 289$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.6 | 1,842 | 41%755 W · 1,087 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Laura Pigossi | 76c | 282.23$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.42 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Laura Pigossi | 79c | 203.15$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.82 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Laura Pigossi | 58c | 169.86$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.28 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Laura Pigossi | 78c | 146.4$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.21 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Laura Pigossi | 76c | 143.63$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Laura Pigossi | 52c | 135.43$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.76 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Anastasia Tikhonova | 44c | 132.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.96 | 389 | 47.3%184 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Laura Pigossi | 78c | 128$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Anastasia Tikhonova | 39c | 123.4$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Laura Pigossi | 77c | 115.65$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 930 | 48.8%454 W · 476 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…36a3backed Anastasia Tikhonova | 22c | 114.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 548 | 44.5%244 W · 304 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Anastasia Tikhonova | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9121…bd6cbacked Laura Pigossi | 58c | 90$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Anastasia Tikhonova | 26c | 84.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 375 | 34.9%131 W · 244 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…41e1backed Laura Pigossi | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 371 | 58.8%218 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Anastasia Tikhonova | 40c | 77.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 363 | 49.9%181 W · 182 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Anastasia Tikhonova | 42c | 76.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Laura Pigossi | 59c | 76$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 1,269 | 44.8%568 W · 701 L | -5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Anastasia Tikhonova | 43c | 66.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Laura Pigossi | 75c | 63.14$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Laura Pigossi | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 331 | 55.6%184 W · 147 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Laura Pigossi | 47c | 58.57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x173c…a5aabacked Anastasia Tikhonova | 53c | 58.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Anastasia Tikhonova | 42c | 43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 503 | 40%201 W · 302 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a4…cdb9backed Laura Pigossi | 76c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 79 | 81%64 W · 15 L | +15.0wins | +0.19per pick | 62cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Laura Pigossi | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Anastasia Tikhonova | 33c | 33.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Laura Pigossi | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Anastasia Tikhonova | 49c | 23.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Laura Pigossi | 73c | 22.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 783 | 50.3%394 W · 389 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Anastasia Tikhonova | 48c | 21.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Laura Pigossi | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 450 | 53.3%240 W · 210 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b6…e0a0backed Laura Pigossi | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 133 | 63.2%84 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…23acbacked Laura Pigossi | 80c | 15.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.06 | 618 | 55.8%345 W · 273 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.