TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Cubs vs. Rockies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cubsof Cubs, Rockies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,120
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$92,475

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,120 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ce8…4527backed Rockies35c22,400$7,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,840.0144456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Cubs69c21,378$14,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,614.61,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Rockies27c10,642$2,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,844.3154345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Rockies35c10,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,499.9834245%154 W · 188 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Cubs65c8,400$5,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,94013065.4%85 W · 45 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cubs65c6,288$4,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,179.7412,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Cubs65c5,492$3,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,922.3143247.2%204 W · 228 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Rockies34c4,498$1,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,529.4456451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ad…208ebacked Rockies35c3,902$1,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,365.5721740.1%87 W · 130 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed Rockies24c2,981$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.7821747%102 W · 115 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Cubs66c2,930$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.082,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Cubs65c2,850$1,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.543654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Rockies32c2,400$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.9143946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rockies34c1,892$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.352,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3aec…0f2dbacked Rockies35c1,744$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.391844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc623…9afdbacked Cubs66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.1513553.3%72 W · 63 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cubs64c1,379$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.381,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3222…2823backed Cubs75c1,262$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.5516148.4%78 W · 83 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2bf…2ab3backed Rockies28c1,232$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.372740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-31.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Rockies35c1,150$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.4950843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a7d…0a62backed Cubs66c1,121$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.215764.9%37 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Cubs65c1,016$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.625453.5%136 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Cubs66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34083248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Cubs65c900$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3151,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Rockies35c857$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.951,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Cubs65c825$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.7511454.4%62 W · 52 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Cubs72c788.13$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.686,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Cubs65c763.96$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.9638455.7%214 W · 170 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6148…acadbacked Rockies35c750$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.524547.3%116 W · 129 L+21.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Rockies36c722$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.9257744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Cubs71c664$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.3413359.4%79 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Rockies19c598.77$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.776,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Rockies35c571.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20056351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Rockies34c539.85$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.5551347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Rockies35c521$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.3544443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x823d…8091backed Cubs65c517.06$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.976453.1%34 W · 30 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Cubs71c488.08$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.081,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Rockies35c439.48$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.8240152.4%210 W · 191 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Cubs68c397.22$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.239,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Rockies19c361.7$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Rockies34c335.3$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.354941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dbb…050cbacked Cubs72c332.55$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.455352.8%28 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Rockies35c323.29$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.973149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x409b…d3dabacked Cubs65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.692343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4201…f6edbacked Cubs66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.033345.5%15 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Rockies36c296.15$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1061,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Rockies22c287.9$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2376456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Rockies35c252$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.21,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Cubs65c250.04$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.5122142.1%93 W · 128 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rockies33c241.43$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.6773352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Rockies36c240$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.43,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefe7…0cdfbacked Cubs65c224.89$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.715246.2%24 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Rockies40c207.08$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.3470841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Rockies36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Cubs65c175.45$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.411,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Rockies23c168.79$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.914,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x448a…f2b7backed Rockies36c166.19$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.833151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Cubs65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8534264.3%220 W · 122 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Cubs65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8588549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Cubs65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.851,38855.1%765 W · 623 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Cubs65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.852,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa320…8232backed Cubs65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8528447.5%135 W · 149 L-20.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Cubs66c150$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5192754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e9c…95a1backed Rockies35c142$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.740144.1%177 W · 224 L-17.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Rockies35c139.04$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.671,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Cubs73c137.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8139160.4%236 W · 155 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf89f…bd07backed Cubs72c137.81$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.59475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3049…7825backed Cubs66c137.21$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.218351.8%43 W · 40 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e4d…67a5backed Cubs65c120$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4212352.8%65 W · 58 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e2c…e2fdbacked Rockies19c104.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Rockies16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1645732.2%147 W · 310 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8643…85b2backed Rockies35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357553.3%40 W · 35 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ab…f2a9backed Cubs64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3642651.2%218 W · 208 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb33b…18efbacked Rockies36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e90…b93bbacked Cubs65c92.31$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.313177.4%24 W · 7 L+5.2wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+31%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x37e3…fff7backed Cubs65c87.55$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.643557.1%20 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x303f…4c97backed Cubs65c86.89$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.412941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7eb3…cf01backed Cubs65c84.02$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.413129%9 W · 22 L-7.1wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Cubs65c84$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.426355.5%146 W · 117 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2000…df78backed Cubs66c83.33$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.334843.8%21 W · 27 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56f6…9f57backed Rockies18c80.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.631547.3%149 W · 166 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2c6…f6cabacked Cubs65c78.78$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.573043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b4…3e3cbacked Rockies36c78.78$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.362842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf647…7911backed Rockies36c75$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271850%9 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f2d…e348backed Cubs65c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2118159.1%107 W · 74 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Cubs65c56.66$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.838159.3%48 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Cubs66c55$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9569547.5%330 W · 365 L-16.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6282…e8f2backed Rockies30c54.03$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.27427%20 W · 54 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bc1…201bbacked Cubs65c51.68$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.093043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e63…7e29backed Rockies33c50.84$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1753639.9%214 W · 322 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe05f…b3e8backed Rockies34c49.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1729145.4%132 W · 159 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1126…4e82backed Cubs77c46.24$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6160052.2%313 W · 287 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…d68cbacked Cubs59c46.24$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.966657.6%38 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Cubs64c46$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.562,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ac1…5f0fbacked Cubs64c45$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.234257.6%197 W · 145 L+25.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Cubs73c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.896133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Cubs65c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141,29956.7%737 W · 562 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40f0…a193backed Rockies36c39.22$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.124055%22 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73b8…aa92backed Cubs65c38.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4635652.5%187 W · 169 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2059…5203backed Cubs65c38.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.464100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.