Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Pepperdine Waves vs. Long Beach State Beach
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69129835d500a6c756b6bd92deac787bbd75fed45cc66471363dff9d12b855d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Long Beach State Beachof Pepperdine Waves, Long Beach State Beach
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,029
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,029 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Long Beach State Beach | 65c | 5,549$3,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,936.35 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pepperdine Waves | 55c | 4,223$2,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,305.86 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pepperdine Waves | 34c | 3,133$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.99 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Pepperdine Waves | 46c | 2,544$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Long Beach State Beach | 53c | 2,297$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.41 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Long Beach State Beach | 48c | 2,104$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.41 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Long Beach State Beach | 55c | 1,754$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.52 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Long Beach State Beach | 52c | 918.52$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.55 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Pepperdine Waves | 35c | 848$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.8 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Pepperdine Waves | 50c | 766.72$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.77 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Pepperdine Waves | 36c | 746.85$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.4 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Pepperdine Waves | 51c | 746.01$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.78 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Pepperdine Waves | 38c | 699.99$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Long Beach State Beach | 67c | 676.06$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.41 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Pepperdine Waves | 43c | 427$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.06 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Long Beach State Beach | 63c | 421$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.6 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Long Beach State Beach | 52c | 377.33$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.42 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Pepperdine Waves | 36c | 361.06$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.98 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Long Beach State Beach | 80c | 310.1$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.37 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Long Beach State Beach | 48c | 292.44$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.07 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Pepperdine Waves | 45c | 281.7$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.77 | 131 | 41.2%54 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Long Beach State Beach | 72c | 277.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.22 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Pepperdine Waves | 45c | 260.76$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.34 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x290f…7e47backed Pepperdine Waves | 58c | 258$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.03 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1758…5d73backed Pepperdine Waves | 43c | 230.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…0837backed Long Beach State Beach | 42c | 180$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.6 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Pepperdine Waves | 37c | 174.61$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.57 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…dd30backed Pepperdine Waves | 36c | 140$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +95.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe621…8182backed Pepperdine Waves | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Pepperdine Waves | 33c | 122.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Long Beach State Beach | 49c | 115.81$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.52 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e5…fe31backed Pepperdine Waves | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 95 | 4.2%4 W · 91 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -86%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Long Beach State Beach | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75f1…907dbacked Pepperdine Waves | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Pepperdine Waves | 45c | 96.01$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Long Beach State Beach | 54c | 66.74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.97 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Pepperdine Waves | 45c | 62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Pepperdine Waves | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Long Beach State Beach | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Pepperdine Waves | 31c | 48.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Long Beach State Beach | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed Pepperdine Waves | 31c | 38.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Pepperdine Waves | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Long Beach State Beach | 54c | 34.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Pepperdine Waves | 36c | 31.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…40a5backed Long Beach State Beach | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…ea96backed Long Beach State Beach | 52c | 24.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.