Euroleague · resolved market
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69355defcaff6edd16f998a3ce6b81040acd201bca2ce619ea2b4941033c8c03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hapoel Tel Avivof ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne, Hapoel Tel Aviv
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,565
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,565 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 45c | 6,547$2,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,605.93 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 76c | 4,114$3,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.7 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 56c | 3,125$1,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744.43 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 55c | 2,812$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.6 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 23c | 2,494$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.1 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 25c | 1,518$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.5 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 53c | 1,453$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.06 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 77c | 1,378$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.91 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 60c | 1,290$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.87 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 25c | 1,248$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.15 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 24c | 700.58$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.55 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a5…398fbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 63c | 603.14$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 44c | 523.85$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.48 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 31c | 380.45$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.82 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 38c | 334.44$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.85 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 75c | 333.83$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.12 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 30c | 332.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 41c | 287$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.92 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…64e1backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6519…76cabacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 58c | 200$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.5 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc226…497dbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 53c | 189.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.62 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.34per pick | 43cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 76c | 174.91$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.98 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 79c | 161$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.21 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd94…c56cbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 78c | 141.03$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 32c | 140.47$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.18 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 26c | 137.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4074…cda0backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…4e71backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 48c | 119.65$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 25c | 104$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 72c | 103$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.84 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 24c | 99.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 25c | 92.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 58c | 85.3$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.11 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ab…71dfbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 75c | 76.93$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 24c | 73.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 62c | 71.19$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 61c | 65.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3903…6058backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 59c | 63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…6565backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 54c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7831…1fcbbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 74c | 56.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde5…676cbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 73c | 49.89$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 24c | 42.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8687…1db0backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 75c | 35.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bab…c909backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe430…da09backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…d3dbbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 75c | 26.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…be18backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e7…3fc4backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab85…81e6backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 75c | 16.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.