Lol · resolved market
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs MGN Vikings Esports (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x699c72dbe75461ffe2d2428cfa2450dbc95b883c6ecf05fa077c4d0d9684d080
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nongshim Red Forceof Nongshim Red Force, MGN Vikings Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $123,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,437
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed MGN Vikings Esports | 6c | 42,948$2,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,684.46 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed MGN Vikings Esports | 9c | 21,118$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed MGN Vikings Esports | 8c | 19,275$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.43 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked MGN Vikings Esports | 9c | 5,150$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.47 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MGN Vikings Esports | 9c | 3,333$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.16 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked MGN Vikings Esports | 9c | 1,700$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed MGN Vikings Esports | 9c | 1,509$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.71 | 484 | 48.6%235 W · 249 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked MGN Vikings Esports | 4c | 1,252$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed MGN Vikings Esports | 3c | 1,136$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed MGN Vikings Esports | 11c | 927.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 808 | 32.9%266 W · 542 L | -43.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f4…97dabacked MGN Vikings Esports | 10c | 665.66$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed MGN Vikings Esports | 8c | 646.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.67 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…27bfbacked MGN Vikings Esports | 4c | 600$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed MGN Vikings Esports | 4c | 593.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed MGN Vikings Esports | 3c | 566.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 450 | 41.1%185 W · 265 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked MGN Vikings Esports | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 190 | 41.1%78 W · 112 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed MGN Vikings Esports | 5c | 421$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked MGN Vikings Esports | 14c | 350$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed MGN Vikings Esports | 11c | 224.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed MGN Vikings Esports | 9c | 176.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 354 | 31.1%110 W · 244 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed MGN Vikings Esports | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1,136 | 63.1%717 W · 419 L | +51.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed MGN Vikings Esports | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed MGN Vikings Esports | 9c | 132.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…60e7backed MGN Vikings Esports | 13c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.