Tennis · resolved market
ITF Astana: Arnav Vijay Paparkar vs Martin Borisiouk
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69a165a68b61ba761c5933c37af881e2ec4ebbcad4a96aafc84703d35c8ea5f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arnav Vijay Paparkarof Arnav Vijay Paparkar, Martin Borisiouk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arnav Vijay Paparkar | 34c | 13,741$4,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,134.28 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Martin Borisiouk | 70c | 7,648$5,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,324.04 | 6,411 | 54.4%3,486 W · 2,925 L | +283.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Martin Borisiouk | 1c | 4,430$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.08 | 1,013 | 36.5%370 W · 643 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Martin Borisiouk | 66c | 2,846$1,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870.65 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…89d3backed Martin Borisiouk | 64c | 1,334$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.31 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…5e63backed Martin Borisiouk | 2c | 1,156$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…9ffdbacked Martin Borisiouk | 2c | 1,156$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 66 | 21.2%14 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Martin Borisiouk | 29c | 848.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.3 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Martin Borisiouk | 49c | 770.91$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.23 | 3,621 | 45.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Martin Borisiouk | 9c | 620$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e14…5169backed Martin Borisiouk | 58c | 574.33$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.65 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…694fbacked Martin Borisiouk | 67c | 552.27$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.02 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Arnav Vijay Paparkar | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.19 | 365 | 21.6%79 W · 286 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…4e30backed Martin Borisiouk | 11c | 400$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…359dbacked Martin Borisiouk | 11c | 400$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Arnav Vijay Paparkar | 25c | 392.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.54 | 904 | 54.4%492 W · 412 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Arnav Vijay Paparkar | 33c | 332.36$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.06 | 301 | 47.5%143 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Arnav Vijay Paparkar | 19c | 325.9$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.68 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Martin Borisiouk | 70c | 298$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.18 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Martin Borisiouk | 70c | 249$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.3 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c814backed Arnav Vijay Paparkar | 35c | 248.36$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.43 | 371 | 59.6%221 W · 150 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…dbebbacked Martin Borisiouk | 68c | 220$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 72cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Martin Borisiouk | 75c | 217.37$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.79 | 382 | 57.6%220 W · 162 L | +19.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Arnav Vijay Paparkar | 38c | 212.47$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.1 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…048bbacked Martin Borisiouk | 37c | 210$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7f…b3b9backed Martin Borisiouk | 68c | 200$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Arnav Vijay Paparkar | 41c | 194.6$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.72 | 1,252 | 38.8%486 W · 766 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Arnav Vijay Paparkar | 20c | 147.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.08 | 389 | 35.7%139 W · 250 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9907backed Martin Borisiouk | 50c | 141.74$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.87 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7002…395cbacked Arnav Vijay Paparkar | 35c | 120.61$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.03 | 221 | 52.5%116 W · 105 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbe…7833backed Arnav Vijay Paparkar | 39c | 101.66$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.36 | 151 | 15.9%24 W · 127 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Arnav Vijay Paparkar | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.14 | 1,624 | 54.4%883 W · 741 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Arnav Vijay Paparkar | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 225 | 47.1%106 W · 119 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a8…e802backed Martin Borisiouk | 50c | 96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 363 | 42.1%153 W · 210 L | -16.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Martin Borisiouk | 18c | 91.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1,002 | 50.2%503 W · 499 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec3…e330backed Martin Borisiouk | 69c | 90.06$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.57 | 427 | 47.8%204 W · 223 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Arnav Vijay Paparkar | 55c | 88.36$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.76 | 1,232 | 65.4%806 W · 426 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Martin Borisiouk | 70c | 85.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.81 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Martin Borisiouk | 66c | 82.26$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 824 | 60.6%499 W · 325 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked Martin Borisiouk | 67c | 81.19$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 213 | 51.6%110 W · 103 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424c…8580backed Arnav Vijay Paparkar | 20c | 77.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.3 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Martin Borisiouk | 69c | 77.08$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.19 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Martin Borisiouk | 78c | 76.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 353 | 79.3%280 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 78cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Martin Borisiouk | 68c | 76.01$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…23acbacked Arnav Vijay Paparkar | 46c | 75.54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.54 | 617 | 55.9%345 W · 272 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Martin Borisiouk | 71c | 74$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.17 | 298 | 51.7%154 W · 144 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Arnav Vijay Paparkar | 62c | 72.1$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 805 | 58.6%472 W · 333 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Martin Borisiouk | 56c | 69.64$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,406 | 45.3%637 W · 769 L | +43.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Martin Borisiouk | 71c | 68.82$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.63 | 397 | 47.9%190 W · 207 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb11a…a5d9backed Martin Borisiouk | 58c | 68.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Martin Borisiouk | 80c | 67.26$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed Martin Borisiouk | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Martin Borisiouk | 78c | 60$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 819 | 59.3%486 W · 333 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arnav Vijay Paparkar | 21c | 54.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.88 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…2d2ebacked Martin Borisiouk | 79c | 53.01$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.88 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Arnav Vijay Paparkar | 37c | 48.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 1,806 | 40.9%739 W · 1,067 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c60ebacked Arnav Vijay Paparkar | 36c | 45.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 362 | 60.5%219 W · 143 L | +27.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Arnav Vijay Paparkar | 50c | 44.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.58 | 4,411 | 51.8%2,286 W · 2,125 L | +137.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…527bbacked Arnav Vijay Paparkar | 30c | 44.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.06 | 215 | 63.3%136 W · 79 L | +18.0wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Martin Borisiouk | 46c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…fa96backed Arnav Vijay Paparkar | 34c | 41.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Martin Borisiouk | 53c | 40.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 380 | 47.1%179 W · 201 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Martin Borisiouk | 76c | 38.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 443 | 65.9%292 W · 151 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…b267backed Martin Borisiouk | 65c | 29.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb2…ee14backed Arnav Vijay Paparkar | 57c | 28.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Martin Borisiouk | 80c | 24.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Arnav Vijay Paparkar | 44c | 23.21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 892 | 63.8%569 W · 323 L | +62.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Arnav Vijay Paparkar | 52c | 21.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 6,685 | 36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L | -96.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Martin Borisiouk | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 185 | 57.3%106 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd1…d644backed Martin Borisiouk | 80c | 13.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Astana: Arnav Vijay Paparkar vs Martin Borisioukthis page
- ITF Men Astana: Completed Match: Arnav Vijay Paparkar vs Martin BorisioukYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.