Tennis · resolved market
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Vitaliy Sachko vs Mackenzie McDonald
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69af9914961ae335bd2c14c277efa5bed91358003285b94cf48ef130c93d82f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mackenzie McDonaldof Vitaliy Sachko, Mackenzie McDonald
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,044
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,347
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,044 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Vitaliy Sachko | 8c | 4,713$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.54 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Vitaliy Sachko | 1c | 3,217$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Vitaliy Sachko | 7c | 2,958$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 460 | 30.4%140 W · 320 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Vitaliy Sachko | 24c | 2,375$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.96 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed Mackenzie McDonald | 74c | 1,757$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.52 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Vitaliy Sachko | 23c | 1,197$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.09 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…3f91backed Vitaliy Sachko | 20c | 966.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.91 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Vitaliy Sachko | 19c | 833.24$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.84 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbb…0160backed Mackenzie McDonald | 77c | 807.79$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.79 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 73cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Vitaliy Sachko | 20c | 638.36$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.33 | 261 | 31.4%82 W · 179 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Vitaliy Sachko | 21c | 600$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Vitaliy Sachko | 27c | 600$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.34 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Mackenzie McDonald | 76c | 587$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.88 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Mackenzie McDonald | 76c | 434.78$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.35 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Vitaliy Sachko | 24c | 350$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…ba75backed Vitaliy Sachko | 24c | 349.63$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.91 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Vitaliy Sachko | 25c | 271.63$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.91 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Vitaliy Sachko | 25c | 265.46$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.06 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Vitaliy Sachko | 17c | 236.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f51…e179backed Vitaliy Sachko | 10c | 225$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Mackenzie McDonald | 72c | 207.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.38 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Vitaliy Sachko | 23c | 200$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Vitaliy Sachko | 23c | 192$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…9f40backed Mackenzie McDonald | 77c | 190.92$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.91 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Vitaliy Sachko | 23c | 186$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Vitaliy Sachko | 23c | 150$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Vitaliy Sachko | 8c | 140.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Vitaliy Sachko | 17c | 137.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Vitaliy Sachko | 22c | 136$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Mackenzie McDonald | 77c | 130$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 76c | 120$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 294 | 61.9%182 W · 112 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…1bd7backed Mackenzie McDonald | 76c | 102.63$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 109 | 67.9%74 W · 35 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Vitaliy Sachko | 23c | 102$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 347 | 44.4%154 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…dfb9backed Vitaliy Sachko | 25c | 94.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Vitaliy Sachko | 21c | 92.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Vitaliy Sachko | 24c | 90$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Vitaliy Sachko | 25c | 80.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 76c | 79.56$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 153 | 43.8%67 W · 86 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Vitaliy Sachko | 20c | 69.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 77c | 64.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Mackenzie McDonald | 75c | 54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Vitaliy Sachko | 25c | 51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 196 | 34.2%67 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Vitaliy Sachko | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Vitaliy Sachko | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 491 | 42.8%210 W · 281 L | -15.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Vitaliy Sachko | 24c | 49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 182 | 33.5%61 W · 121 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…4dd4backed Vitaliy Sachko | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…11ffbacked Vitaliy Sachko | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba8…90a3backed Mackenzie McDonald | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 488 | 52.9%258 W · 230 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Mackenzie McDonald | 79c | 22.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Mackenzie McDonald | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 593 | 66.8%396 W · 197 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 80c | 17.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1e…5a2abacked Mackenzie McDonald | 77c | 15.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.48 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Vitaliy Sachko vs Mackenzie McDonaldthis page
- Set Handicap: McDonald (-1.5) vs Sachko (+1.5)McDonald won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.