Tennis · resolved market
Palermo: Fiona Ferro vs Yufei Ren
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69b095ad45c2e7b07cbb980ee6ed17846bcfc2522b0108b1d518e3c937791ff2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fiona Ferroof Fiona Ferro, Yufei Ren
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $154,245
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $138,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,245 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yufei Ren | 4c | 40,123$1,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726.48 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x118a…457ebacked Yufei Ren | 7c | 15,148$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.97 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yufei Ren | 1c | 14,420$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7a…0a45backed Yufei Ren | 0c | 6,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Yufei Ren | 2c | 2,781$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.39 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yufei Ren | 7c | 2,077$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.08 | 320 | 31.3%100 W · 220 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yufei Ren | 5c | 1,362$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.02 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yufei Ren | 17c | 1,132$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.5 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…27d8backed Yufei Ren | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a51…1e9fbacked Yufei Ren | 6c | 896.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 218 | 42.2%92 W · 126 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yufei Ren | 8c | 886.63$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.29 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…5235backed Yufei Ren | 2c | 609.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x220f…0b32backed Yufei Ren | 18c | 535.4$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.49 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Yufei Ren | 15c | 474.06$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a63…0e48backed Yufei Ren | 2c | 457.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Yufei Ren | 16c | 396.25$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 124 | 44.4%55 W · 69 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1a93backed Yufei Ren | 16c | 393.88$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.02 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yufei Ren | 13c | 312.71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yufei Ren | 17c | 232$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Yufei Ren | 15c | 210.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…767dbacked Yufei Ren | 13c | 209.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Yufei Ren | 7c | 182.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Yufei Ren | 16c | 115.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 488 | 42%205 W · 283 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b6…9b2cbacked Yufei Ren | 15c | 80.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 155 | 57.4%89 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yufei Ren | 15c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30e5…2300backed Fiona Ferro | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 55 | 89.1%49 W · 6 L | +9.3wins | +0.17per pick | 72cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Palermo: Fiona Ferro vs Yufei Renthis page
- Set Handicap: Ren (-1.5) vs Ferro (+1.5)Ferro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.