Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Crest Gaming Zst vs QT DIG∞ (BO3) - VCL Japan Main Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a7e8fc57bb3a7fd96b21614af97be7750d536bf9c69d5fbb34e4bb4d3dd3272
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Crest Gaming Zstof Crest Gaming Zst, QT DIG∞
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,562
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,258
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,562 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Crest Gaming Zst | 55c | 3,398$1,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529 | 198 | 60.6%120 W · 78 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e6…d471backed QT DIG∞ | 45c | 2,833$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.07 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaf…d959backed QT DIG∞ | 46c | 2,122$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.41 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed QT DIG∞ | 44c | 752$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.88 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Crest Gaming Zst | 56c | 699.55$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.8 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Crest Gaming Zst | 56c | 651.79$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.79 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 56c | 577.97$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.31 | 287 | 43.2%124 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Crest Gaming Zst | 54c | 500.1$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.05 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c23…cab3backed QT DIG∞ | 67c | 499.99$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.99 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked QT DIG∞ | 44c | 499.59$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.65 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa4…236cbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 57c | 410.54$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.67 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Crest Gaming Zst | 54c | 401.98$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.91 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f00…2f63backed QT DIG∞ | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked QT DIG∞ | 44c | 310$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.4 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Crest Gaming Zst | 52c | 280$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.2 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed QT DIG∞ | 30c | 278.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.36 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -20.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Crest Gaming Zst | 33c | 250$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.5 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe01f…ab4abacked Crest Gaming Zst | 56c | 190$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.6 | 254 | 44.9%114 W · 140 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked QT DIG∞ | 45c | 177.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Crest Gaming Zst | 55c | 172$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Crest Gaming Zst | 62c | 164.52$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.29 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed QT DIG∞ | 18c | 162.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed QT DIG∞ | 9c | 138.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 353 | 31.2%110 W · 243 L | -29.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Crest Gaming Zst | 52c | 133.64$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.64 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b5…be4bbacked QT DIG∞ | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Crest Gaming Zst | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed Crest Gaming Zst | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 430 | 59.8%257 W · 173 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2338…27f6backed QT DIG∞ | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Crest Gaming Zst | 33c | 88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.96 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 56c | 80.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked QT DIG∞ | 44c | 68.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Crest Gaming Zst | 33c | 65.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.21 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…df38backed Crest Gaming Zst | 68c | 54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Crest Gaming Zst | 51c | 46.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x026b…8804backed Crest Gaming Zst | 55c | 45.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 33c | 45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 158 | 42.4%67 W · 91 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4a…59d9backed QT DIG∞ | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5160…ac0bbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 80c | 37.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddf…7510backed Crest Gaming Zst | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x422d…7e39backed Crest Gaming Zst | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77e6…0ae1backed Crest Gaming Zst | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56d5…2c23backed Crest Gaming Zst | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 113 | 67.3%76 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 75c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Crest Gaming Zst vs QT DIG∞ (BO3) - VCL Japan Main Stagethis page
- Valorant: Crest Gaming Zst vs QT DIG∞ - Map 1 WinnerCrest Gaming Zst won
- Valorant: Crest Gaming Zst vs QT DIG∞ - Map 2 WinnerCrest Gaming Zst won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.