Lol · resolved market
LoL: DMG Esports vs Volda E-Sport - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b1f38a63bd697ad0a67d14afa8d1722f2a224676378c9dd2fc5e7aa7d64cc64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DMG Esportsof DMG Esports, Volda E-Sport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa56e…1c76backed DMG Esports | 63c | 580.82$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.4 | 84 | 65.5%55 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5819…2b4fbacked Volda E-Sport | 32c | 362.68$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.06 | 521 | 49.9%260 W · 261 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Volda E-Sport | 22c | 306.27$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.48 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x466b…7fd3backed Volda E-Sport | 49c | 289.31$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.57 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Volda E-Sport | 34c | 151.28$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.44 | 267 | 44.9%120 W · 147 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Volda E-Sport | 9c | 148.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 2,020 | 30.5%617 W · 1,403 L | -172.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…bc5ebacked DMG Esports | 78c | 142$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 364 | 58.8%214 W · 150 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked DMG Esports | 69c | 97$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 977 | 44.8%438 W · 539 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…8cc4backed Volda E-Sport | 32c | 88.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 424 | 50.5%214 W · 210 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d3…c2c0backed Volda E-Sport | 32c | 80.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked DMG Esports | 72c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 889 | 49.6%441 W · 448 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed DMG Esports | 66c | 76.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 251 | 42.6%107 W · 144 L | -22.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed DMG Esports | 66c | 65$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 1,343 | 49%658 W · 685 L | -26.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed DMG Esports | 69c | 63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 650 | 43.1%280 W · 370 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Volda E-Sport | 33c | 48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -52.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2742…db2ebacked DMG Esports | 72c | 16.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: DMG Esports vs Volda E-Sport - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- LoL: DMG Esports vs Volda E-Sport (BO3) - NLC PlayoffsDMG Esports won
- LoL: DMG Esports vs Volda E-Sport - Game 1 WinnerDMG Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.