Lol · resolved market
LoL: DMG Esports vs Volda E-Sport - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6102d792f7de1d37a199b7055baa75ab04583fb2d093e6c725210407916fbd5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DMG Esportsof DMG Esports, Volda E-Sport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,365
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,981
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,365 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a35…9015backed Volda E-Sport | 38c | 3,439$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 373 | 44%164 W · 209 L | -16.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Volda E-Sport | 32c | 1,792$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.31 | 1,675 | 59.3%993 W · 682 L | +96.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked DMG Esports | 73c | 1,225$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.31 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e50…0ea8backed Volda E-Sport | 2c | 1,211$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 69 | 0%0 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…5b67backed DMG Esports | 58c | 940.25$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.9 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4a…3da9backed Volda E-Sport | 36c | 921.73$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.74 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed DMG Esports | 68c | 882.06$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.72 | 267 | 44.9%120 W · 147 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…f2d0backed Volda E-Sport | 35c | 803.37$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked DMG Esports | 62c | 748.57$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.91 | 420 | 42.4%178 W · 242 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked DMG Esports | 66c | 514.32$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.12 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…91a2backed Volda E-Sport | 4c | 503.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 64 | 1.6%1 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed DMG Esports | 69c | 500$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.79 | 2,521 | 47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L | -34.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed DMG Esports | 58c | 446.81$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.66 | 249 | 35.3%88 W · 161 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…b577backed DMG Esports | 67c | 400.21$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.25 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked DMG Esports | 61c | 397.87$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.11 | 302 | 53.6%162 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked DMG Esports | 63c | 381.49$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.78 | 2,020 | 30.5%617 W · 1,403 L | -172.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed DMG Esports | 61c | 330.49$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.29 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa56e…1c76backed DMG Esports | 69c | 311.35$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.35 | 84 | 65.5%55 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…2f71backed DMG Esports | 68c | 311$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.52 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed Volda E-Sport | 35c | 299.01$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.93 | 594 | 59.1%351 W · 243 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…8615backed DMG Esports | 67c | 272$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.76 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed DMG Esports | 64c | 264.29$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.29 | 397 | 55.4%220 W · 177 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…cf4cbacked Volda E-Sport | 34c | 253.74$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.57 | 481 | 47.2%227 W · 254 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…cba4backed Volda E-Sport | 38c | 213.09$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.92 | 550 | 45.3%249 W · 301 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…e96ebacked DMG Esports | 61c | 209.92$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.82 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e9…caedbacked DMG Esports | 59c | 193.73$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.13 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Volda E-Sport | 20c | 192.3$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 265 | 41.9%111 W · 154 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Volda E-Sport | 23c | 167.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.53 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb978…fac0backed Volda E-Sport | 34c | 160.09$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.65 | 153 | 61.4%94 W · 59 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…b9c5backed DMG Esports | 68c | 157.6$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.43 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a00…59e2backed Volda E-Sport | 35c | 155.86$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.21 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Volda E-Sport | 34c | 154$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.27 | 1,085 | 46.2%501 W · 584 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Volda E-Sport | 31c | 125.94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 1,091 | 47.4%517 W · 574 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x825e…2a99backed DMG Esports | 67c | 119.4$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 277 | 49.1%136 W · 141 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Volda E-Sport | 36c | 119.02$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.69 | 483 | 57.1%276 W · 207 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…5d31backed Volda E-Sport | 35c | 117.63$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed DMG Esports | 64c | 117.35$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 1,428 | 38.4%548 W · 880 L | -42.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed DMG Esports | 66c | 97.8$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 520 | 46%239 W · 281 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Volda E-Sport | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,453 | 43.4%630 W · 823 L | +106.7wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5e…7459backed Volda E-Sport | 31c | 95.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Volda E-Sport | 34c | 75.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 363 | 38.8%141 W · 222 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Volda E-Sport | 41c | 75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 889 | 49.6%441 W · 448 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed DMG Esports | 62c | 72.74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.64 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a3…916abacked Volda E-Sport | 36c | 69.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked DMG Esports | 59c | 67.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 228 | 55.7%127 W · 101 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4509…58aebacked DMG Esports | 62c | 59.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 1,082 | 39.5%427 W · 655 L | -78.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc904…2025backed DMG Esports | 63c | 57.9$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed DMG Esports | 65c | 46.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 679 | 57.9%393 W · 286 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked DMG Esports | 64c | 42.37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 230 | 66.1%152 W · 78 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1c…2679backed Volda E-Sport | 37c | 40.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 453 | 60.9%276 W · 177 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…741cbacked DMG Esports | 69c | 28.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63e3…2040backed DMG Esports | 74c | 26.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +51%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed DMG Esports | 64c | 19.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 449 | 38.1%171 W · 278 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed DMG Esports | 65c | 18.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 1,571 | 55.1%866 W · 705 L | +80.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: DMG Esports vs Volda E-Sport - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- LoL: DMG Esports vs Volda E-Sport (BO3) - NLC PlayoffsDMG Esports won
- LoL: DMG Esports vs Volda E-Sport - Game 2 WinnerDMG Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.