NHL · resolved market
Red Wings vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b2f6574c01365d914929b49c86b54e81d1a08a2fa7a9d3d7ec9302693ec2621
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,698
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,865
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,698 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 51c | 34,688$17,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,019.13 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Under | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,800 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 49c | 4,090$2,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.95 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Under | 49c | 3,768$1,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,846.32 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 2,835$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.04 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Under | 48c | 2,186$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.41 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 50c | 963.23$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.3 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 53c | 948.66$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.66 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 52c | 805$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.49 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 718$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.82 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 47c | 550.7$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.34 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 47c | 443.99$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.68 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Under | 49c | 422.45$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 49c | 408$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Under | 49c | 309$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.46 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6125…fb3abacked Over | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 49c | 212.4$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.88 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Over | 53c | 188.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.65 | 481 | 61.3%295 W · 186 L | +21.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 49c | 163$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.87 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 480 | 46.9%225 W · 255 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…0ba5backed Over | 52c | 140$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x205f…0189backed Over | 52c | 132.69$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.69 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 49c | 130$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 49c | 119.96$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf19…976bbacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x591a…aec2backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 198 | 44.4%88 W · 110 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…3aa8backed Under | 49c | 91.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…c934backed Over | 52c | 86.73$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…1a8abacked Over | 52c | 77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 52c | 65.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 49c | 65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a7…b64dbacked Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 48c | 55.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 52c | 52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e9…bff4backed Under | 49c | 51.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74a7…69e4backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f2…1415backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 49c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 49c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 49c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…8254backed Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Over | 51c | 39.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Over | 52c | 33.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 490 | 53.7%263 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 291 | 47.4%138 W · 153 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 216 | 48.1%104 W · 112 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Under | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 175 | 52%91 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Under | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1304…138cbacked Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…a31cbacked Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Under | 49c | 29.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac68…4cf4backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…d962backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed Under | 48c | 28.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 27.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c6…0233backed Over | 48c | 27.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 264 | 48.9%129 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3112…442abacked Over | 52c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +143.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 271 | 48.7%132 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bd…4f40backed Over | 52c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Wings vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5this page
- Red Wings vs. Blue JacketsBlue Jackets won
- Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)Red Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.