TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Pozoblanco: Vadym Ursu vs Dominik Palan

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dominik Palanof Vadym Ursu, Dominik Palan
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,617
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,283

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,617 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x04e6…3914backed Dominik Palan46c568.98$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.8234655.2%191 W · 155 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Vadym Ursu14c380.45$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.656,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Vadym Ursu15c348.56$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.093,15557.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L+176.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Dominik Palan43c323.23$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.231,19852.4%628 W · 570 L+28.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Vadym Ursu38c268.28$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.681,96043.8%858 W · 1,102 L-20.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Vadym Ursu54c205$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.981,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Dominik Palan71c192.41$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.6792352.5%485 W · 438 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Vadym Ursu25c168.4$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.399,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf9…8292backed Vadym Ursu55c166.72$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.2259157.7%341 W · 250 L+20.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Vadym Ursu54c146.16$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5244742.3%189 W · 258 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ea…42e8backed Vadym Ursu57c123.05$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9590459.5%538 W · 366 L+0.9wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Dominik Palan43c113.05$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.441,58042.3%668 W · 912 L+18.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Dominik Palan59c106.1$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.484,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Dominik Palan41c97.32$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.421,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Dominik Palan79c95.45$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.056,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Vadym Ursu33c85.23$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.365,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Dominik Palan66c82.45$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.028,70242.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L-165.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Vadym Ursu61c82.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8920…9c0cbacked Dominik Palan40c79.64$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5129347.4%139 W · 154 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Vadym Ursu59c78.17$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.515,00941.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L-82.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93d7…c7a6backed Vadym Ursu59c63.5$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4516755.7%93 W · 74 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Vadym Ursu59c63.1$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.313,31948.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L-52.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Vadym Ursu32c62.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2088935.2%313 W · 576 L+1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Dominik Palan59c54.86$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7311,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Vadym Ursu59c53.44$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.522,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Dominik Palan45c49.98$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.593,98745.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe10f…e8bbbacked Vadym Ursu42c49.52$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6518572.4%134 W · 51 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Dominik Palan41c49$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.912,52836.2%914 W · 1,614 L-26.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee4a…ad4cbacked Vadym Ursu33c45.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510939.4%43 W · 66 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x323e…1ddabacked Dominik Palan41c43.44$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6363537.6%239 W · 396 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b56…a082backed Vadym Ursu61c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.444363.4%281 W · 162 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x767e…98cabacked Vadym Ursu56c39.91$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2841061.5%252 W · 158 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4738…e64abacked Vadym Ursu42c35.7$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511853.4%63 W · 55 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x476e…cfb9backed Dominik Palan69c33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.335060.9%213 W · 137 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a7…206cbacked Dominik Palan39c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.385637.7%323 W · 533 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Vadym Ursu61c28.88$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5760241.2%248 W · 354 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Vadym Ursu43c27.09$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.582,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2433…b690backed Vadym Ursu54c25.55$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.821729.4%5 W · 12 L-5.4wins-0.32per pick61cpaid-57%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x58cc…6415backed Vadym Ursu54c22.18$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1212352%64 W · 59 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Dominik Palan53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.461,77252.1%923 W · 849 L-1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda01…ef17backed Vadym Ursu60c17.28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.28580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Vadym Ursu70c14.29$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1074646.1%344 W · 402 L-30.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.