Tennis · resolved market
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Lisa Zaar vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c545b73c7e890af630f71a62cc1441223be451d774e704fec85623bfd140b56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jessica Bouzas Maneiroof Lisa Zaar, Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e02…b178backed Lisa Zaar | 0c | 6,542$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 334 | 9.6%32 W · 302 L | -16.7wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Lisa Zaar | 15c | 4,723$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.47 | 943 | 40.7%384 W · 559 L | -30.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lisa Zaar | 9c | 4,693$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.19 | 9,161 | 36.1%3,309 W · 5,852 L | -202.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Lisa Zaar | 14c | 4,429$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.46 | 6,678 | 50.7%3,387 W · 3,291 L | +265.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lisa Zaar | 4c | 4,383$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.13 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2901…f4d6backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 78c | 2,500$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Lisa Zaar | 12c | 1,645$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.27 | 373 | 30.3%113 W · 260 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c87…98b1backed Lisa Zaar | 2c | 1,325$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 226 | 2.2%5 W · 221 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Lisa Zaar | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Lisa Zaar | 5c | 833.2$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Lisa Zaar | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 234 | 29.9%70 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Lisa Zaar | 7c | 715.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 128 | 36.7%47 W · 81 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 75c | 691.19$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.55 | 1,694 | 50.5%856 W · 838 L | +13.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Lisa Zaar | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 204 | 12.7%26 W · 178 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7067…38dbbacked Lisa Zaar | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1a…e943backed Lisa Zaar | 24c | 327.04$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 215 | 24.7%53 W · 162 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Lisa Zaar | 7c | 314.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Lisa Zaar | 20c | 281.12$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.96 | 2,881 | 49.5%1,427 W · 1,454 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 77c | 256.41$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.97 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked Lisa Zaar | 22c | 227.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 185 | 51.9%96 W · 89 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Lisa Zaar | 22c | 227.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Lisa Zaar | 22c | 227.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 181 | 48.1%87 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…995fbacked Lisa Zaar | 22c | 227.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Lisa Zaar | 19c | 216.03$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Lisa Zaar | 22c | 191.89$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.22 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Lisa Zaar | 23c | 173.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 5,352 | 28.8%1,543 W · 3,809 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…2bb3backed Lisa Zaar | 22c | 140$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 858 | 68.4%587 W · 271 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5b…b03ebacked Lisa Zaar | 11c | 114.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…614abacked Lisa Zaar | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lisa Zaar | 12c | 102.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 8,834 | 42.5%3,758 W · 5,076 L | -169.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Lisa Zaar | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 303 | 39.9%121 W · 182 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 75c | 99.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 76c | 99.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 76c | 97.84$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 7,129 | 39.7%2,832 W · 4,297 L | -14.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…8807backed Lisa Zaar | 22c | 90.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Lisa Zaar | 24c | 87.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 2,223 | 36.9%821 W · 1,402 L | +40.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Lisa Zaar | 24c | 83.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 2,554 | 36.3%928 W · 1,626 L | -23.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Lisa Zaar | 21c | 77.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 3,891 | 35%1,362 W · 2,529 L | +93.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…41dfbacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 79c | 77.35$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 76c | 75.35$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d75…26fbbacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 163 | 58.9%96 W · 67 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…9a00backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 201 | 58.7%118 W · 83 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…68a3backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 885 | 60.2%533 W · 352 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 78c | 46.27$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 9,406 | 44.3%4,171 W · 5,235 L | -245.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8a…7a39backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3998…7f0fbacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 77c | 37.49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.