Tennis · resolved market
ITF Darmstadt: Victoria Brand vs Anastasiia Firman
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c635fe6c7f91df611f4185c1514906279124f7529075cfddae01f40c3c2251c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Victoria Brandof Victoria Brand, Anastasiia Firman
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,040
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,040 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Anastasiia Firman | 72c | 2,145$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.69 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Victoria Brand | 32c | 1,025$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.87 | 9,161 | 36.1%3,309 W · 5,852 L | -202.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Anastasiia Firman | 68c | 956.62$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.79 | 2,492 | 51.3%1,279 W · 1,213 L | +15.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Anastasiia Firman | 15c | 934$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,742 | 50.2%875 W · 867 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Victoria Brand | 24c | 770.64$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.88 | 1,163 | 41.5%483 W · 680 L | +26.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Victoria Brand | 31c | 576.31$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.92 | 7,129 | 39.7%2,832 W · 4,297 L | -14.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Victoria Brand | 32c | 500.93$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.14 | 5,352 | 28.8%1,543 W · 3,809 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Victoria Brand | 31c | 417.7$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.14 | 224 | 37.5%84 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Anastasiia Firman | 71c | 382.92$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.96 | 593 | 57.8%343 W · 250 L | +21.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Anastasiia Firman | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 981 | 56%549 W · 432 L | +23.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Victoria Brand | 32c | 268.1$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.01 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Anastasiia Firman | 68c | 200$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 569 | 53.8%306 W · 263 L | +20.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Anastasiia Firman | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 988 | 55.5%548 W · 440 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Victoria Brand | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 1,023 | 50%511 W · 512 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Victoria Brand | 32c | 158$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.22 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Victoria Brand | 29c | 150$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 270 | 41.9%113 W · 157 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Victoria Brand | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 363 | 49.6%180 W · 183 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Anastasiia Firman | 76c | 131.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Anastasiia Firman | 64c | 130.45$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.4 | 4,041 | 45.7%1,848 W · 2,193 L | -28.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Anastasiia Firman | 15c | 126.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 906 | 54.6%495 W · 411 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Anastasiia Firman | 15c | 126.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 967 | 55.9%541 W · 426 L | +21.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Victoria Brand | 30c | 124$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.8 | 380 | 49.5%188 W · 192 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Victoria Brand | 16c | 123.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.76 | 1,428 | 55%785 W · 643 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Victoria Brand | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 834 | 57.1%476 W · 358 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Anastasiia Firman | 62c | 75.36$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 8,834 | 42.5%3,758 W · 5,076 L | -169.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Anastasiia Firman | 26c | 66.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…f311backed Victoria Brand | 32c | 61.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Victoria Brand | 21c | 59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.61 | 405 | 35.8%145 W · 260 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed Anastasiia Firman | 69c | 55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Victoria Brand | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 1,274 | 45%573 W · 701 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Victoria Brand | 33c | 47.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.69 | 325 | 46.2%150 W · 175 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Anastasiia Firman | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 6,798 | 36.9%2,507 W · 4,291 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Victoria Brand | 32c | 37.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Anastasiia Firman | 67c | 35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Victoria Brand | 61c | 32.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 1,179 | 52.8%623 W · 556 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Anastasiia Firman | 67c | 31.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Victoria Brand | 37c | 31.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 2,781 | 53.8%1,495 W · 1,286 L | +71.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Anastasiia Firman | 79c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 570 | 49.1%280 W · 290 L | +24.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…f93dbacked Anastasiia Firman | 79c | 29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Anastasiia Firman | 46c | 22.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 3,195 | 57.3%1,830 W · 1,365 L | +178.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x919e…371dbacked Anastasiia Firman | 75c | 20.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2433…b690backed Anastasiia Firman | 70c | 20.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -5.4wins | -0.32per pick | 61cpaid | -57%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Anastasiia Firman | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 826 | 59.3%490 W · 336 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…6415backed Anastasiia Firman | 69c | 17.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 123 | 52%64 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Anastasiia Firman | 67c | 15.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 4,376 | 52.3%2,290 W · 2,086 L | +67.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Anastasiia Firman | 77c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 324 | 52.5%170 W · 154 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.