Tennis · resolved market
Wuning: Daniil Ostapenkov vs Qian Sun
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6cbdd5ea883ba038fbbe2f2c3af81ccea4d372733417e435aa1b203518e2f4e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Daniil Ostapenkovof Daniil Ostapenkov, Qian Sun
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,453
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,377
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,453 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Qian Sun | 6c | 22,112$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.47 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Daniil Ostapenkov | 78c | 6,528$5,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.51 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…83dcbacked Qian Sun | 22c | 4,192$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.32 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 25cpaid | -87.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Daniil Ostapenkov | 77c | 2,721$2,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.23 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Qian Sun | 22c | 1,590$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.39 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Qian Sun | 19c | 1,542$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.2 | 198 | 51%101 W · 97 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Qian Sun | 21c | 1,383$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.64 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Qian Sun | 20c | 1,203$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.78 | 369 | 44.4%164 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Daniil Ostapenkov | 72c | 1,154$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.02 | 236 | 53.4%126 W · 110 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Qian Sun | 8c | 1,104$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.61 | 292 | 41.8%122 W · 170 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x398f…6e99backed Qian Sun | 17c | 999.98$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Qian Sun | 4c | 849.81$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 166 | 45.2%75 W · 91 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4c…94fbbacked Qian Sun | 8c | 600.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -69%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2273…7e01backed Qian Sun | 4c | 533.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Qian Sun | 4c | 528.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Qian Sun | 4c | 471.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Daniil Ostapenkov | 76c | 432.04$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.36 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec46…714cbacked Qian Sun | 11c | 380.77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.84 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…934dbacked Qian Sun | 17c | 375.65$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.44 | 307 | 15.6%48 W · 259 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Qian Sun | 27c | 302.76$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.33 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ba…b283backed Qian Sun | 27c | 301.82$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.49 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Qian Sun | 18c | 300.43$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Daniil Ostapenkov | 73c | 250$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.03 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ef…468bbacked Qian Sun | 24c | 221.96$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.27 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe784…e664backed Qian Sun | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…8407backed Daniil Ostapenkov | 73c | 193.39$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.22 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…dfcebacked Qian Sun | 22c | 173.31$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 346 | 37.9%131 W · 215 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…dfb9backed Daniil Ostapenkov | 76c | 153.92$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02e7…2519backed Qian Sun | 26c | 147.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.2wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…6b7dbacked Qian Sun | 14c | 143.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Qian Sun | 13c | 138.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d5…7ca1backed Qian Sun | 21c | 138.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 257 | 56%144 W · 113 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Qian Sun | 27c | 121.91$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 416 | 58.7%244 W · 172 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Qian Sun | 20c | 121.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9615…60ddbacked Daniil Ostapenkov | 76c | 121.26$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Qian Sun | 27c | 112.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 501 | 56.1%281 W · 220 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Daniil Ostapenkov | 80c | 111.2$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Daniil Ostapenkov | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Daniil Ostapenkov | 75c | 98.24$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…4874backed Daniil Ostapenkov | 74c | 98$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 918 | 80.5%739 W · 179 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Qian Sun | 27c | 94.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 535 | 44.1%236 W · 299 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59db…2e36backed Daniil Ostapenkov | 65c | 92.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 147 | 72.8%107 W · 40 L | +19.7wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Daniil Ostapenkov | 79c | 90$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Qian Sun | 24c | 87.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 298 | 51%152 W · 146 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Qian Sun | 26c | 84.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Daniil Ostapenkov | 76c | 79.93$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Qian Sun | 22c | 76.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Daniil Ostapenkov | 72c | 74.96$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf088…f744backed Qian Sun | 28c | 68.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Daniil Ostapenkov | 79c | 67.6$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x410c…15f7backed Daniil Ostapenkov | 76c | 64.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Qian Sun | 28c | 61.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x673b…93f0backed Daniil Ostapenkov | 76c | 54.47$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Daniil Ostapenkov | 73c | 54.11$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Qian Sun | 25c | 53.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Qian Sun | 25c | 53.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 484 | 53.7%260 W · 224 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Qian Sun | 27c | 52.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 399 | 55.4%221 W · 178 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Daniil Ostapenkov | 74c | 51.58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Daniil Ostapenkov | 77c | 51.53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 647 | 55%356 W · 291 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Qian Sun | 24c | 50.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 234 | 44.9%105 W · 129 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Qian Sun | 24c | 50.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 296 | 52.4%155 W · 141 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x280e…2779backed Qian Sun | 23c | 47.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Daniil Ostapenkov | 70c | 47.59$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 485 | 52.4%254 W · 231 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…7040backed Daniil Ostapenkov | 77c | 44.83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Qian Sun | 24c | 43.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 305 | 55.4%169 W · 136 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Qian Sun | 24c | 43.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 768 | 53%407 W · 361 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7926…4ae5backed Qian Sun | 29c | 42.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Daniil Ostapenkov | 73c | 40.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Daniil Ostapenkov | 78c | 37.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Daniil Ostapenkov | 70c | 35.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 652 | 64.1%418 W · 234 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7a…2488backed Daniil Ostapenkov | 77c | 31.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 89 | 68.5%61 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Daniil Ostapenkov | 73c | 26.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 308 | 53.6%165 W · 143 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Daniil Ostapenkov | 75c | 24.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6b…340bbacked Daniil Ostapenkov | 78c | 20.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…0918backed Daniil Ostapenkov | 78c | 15.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.51 | 498 | 57%284 W · 214 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Daniil Ostapenkov | 77c | 14.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.23 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Daniil Ostapenkov | 76c | 13.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.