Fifa International · resolved market
DR Congo to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6cd7a3679087739145495983ffa663b35045d8b15d461e31ec35a3b9330f9adc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,434
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,630
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,434 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 10c | 5,354$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.88 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 8c | 3,991$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.61 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfed…9d03backed Yes | 11c | 1,968$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.55 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 7c | 1,964$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.22 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35c2…51abbacked Yes | 7c | 1,700$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9e…d362backed Yes | 9c | 1,389$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742e…99b2backed Yes | 11c | 1,364$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 230 | 22.6%52 W · 178 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…186bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 17.7%22 W · 102 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc2…077bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 178 | 45.5%81 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Yes | 8c | 842.79$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.27 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76e2…a475backed Yes | 12c | 543.74$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.52 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x959c…1566backed Yes | 14c | 415.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -50%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f44…b271backed Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 7c | 280$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4c…1627backed Yes | 13c | 272.15$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 10cpaid | -89.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…8d7dbacked Yes | 8c | 253.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1f…3fd0backed Yes | 11c | 140.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 158 | 37.3%59 W · 99 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffd…d98bbacked Yes | 10c | 112.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d38…8b41backed Yes | 11c | 109.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 11c | 104.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- DR Congo to win the second half?this page
- England to win the second half?Yes won
- England vs. DR Congo: Second half draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.