Fifa International · resolved market
England vs. DR Congo: Second half draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86be6cb20343268d325152ad97ef87394ad0eb85f3ea81abaadb85da703ef656
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,328
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,020
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,328 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 16c | 4,227$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.19 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 19c | 1,622$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.28 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 75c | 1,139$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.78 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Yes | 29c | 1,012$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.42 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc2…077bbacked Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 178 | 45.5%81 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 71c | 992.27$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.16 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…64c9backed Yes | 10c | 975.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 232 | 24.1%56 W · 176 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 30c | 806$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.8 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 70c | 790.98$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.29 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 70c | 700$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f44…b271backed Yes | 29c | 364.42$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.38 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 72c | 239.92$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.31 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 77c | 230$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.9 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 24c | 210.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 23c | 199.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed No | 77c | 165$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 78c | 98.76$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…6367backed No | 74c | 84.88$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a13…588fbacked Yes | 22c | 75.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa588…863cbacked Yes | 28c | 72.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 70c | 65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 26c | 54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76e0…960abacked Yes | 21c | 48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x76e2…a475backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 76c | 16.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- England vs. DR Congo: Second half draw?this page
- DR Congo to win the second half?No won
- England to win the second half?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.