Tennis · resolved market
Poznan: Gonzalo Bueno vs Dalibor Svrcina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d1c35681cf320a5ea8367950b124a23240efebad7cfd9aad0ce642d5aca9b40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dalibor Svrcinaof Gonzalo Bueno, Dalibor Svrcina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,439
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,328
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,439 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Dalibor Svrcina | 79c | 2,002$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.85 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 16c | 2,000$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.47 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Gonzalo Bueno | 14c | 1,794$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.45 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Gonzalo Bueno | 28c | 1,616$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.67 | 330 | 37.3%123 W · 207 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Dalibor Svrcina | 71c | 1,225$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.66 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Gonzalo Bueno | 33c | 828.64$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.21 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Dalibor Svrcina | 78c | 803.35$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.89 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Gonzalo Bueno | 16c | 736.83$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50b9…4467backed Gonzalo Bueno | 23c | 700$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 380 | 33.9%129 W · 251 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 17c | 617.65$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.07 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Gonzalo Bueno | 14c | 488.22$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.01 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Dalibor Svrcina | 67c | 343.47$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.46 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Gonzalo Bueno | 31c | 274.18$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.99 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…df57backed Gonzalo Bueno | 18c | 225.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 155 | 31%48 W · 107 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Dalibor Svrcina | 69c | 211.97$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.71 | 525 | 57%299 W · 226 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5a…d0f0backed Dalibor Svrcina | 78c | 205$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 461 | 55.3%255 W · 206 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 33c | 187$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.71 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 16c | 172.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Gonzalo Bueno | 21c | 148.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Dalibor Svrcina | 79c | 146.29$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 14c | 146$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Gonzalo Bueno | 33c | 123.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.91 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Gonzalo Bueno | 33c | 110.73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 263 | 45.6%120 W · 143 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Dalibor Svrcina | 78c | 92$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Dalibor Svrcina | 69c | 86.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 394 | 69%272 W · 122 L | +27.8wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Gonzalo Bueno | 21c | 80.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Dalibor Svrcina | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Dalibor Svrcina | 76c | 65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Dalibor Svrcina | 79c | 64.25$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Gonzalo Bueno | 31c | 60.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50d7…f9bbbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 21c | 59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Gonzalo Bueno | 35c | 57.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Gonzalo Bueno | 32c | 39.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Dalibor Svrcina | 80c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5e…f0c5backed Dalibor Svrcina | 80c | 37.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 232 | 72.8%169 W · 63 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Dalibor Svrcina | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…8a6ebacked Dalibor Svrcina | 77c | 26.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 417 | 68.1%284 W · 133 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8951…dfcfbacked Dalibor Svrcina | 65c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 258 | 58.1%150 W · 108 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…67e6backed Dalibor Svrcina | 76c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 372 | 55.6%207 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2554…bb52backed Dalibor Svrcina | 67c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbafb…3031backed Dalibor Svrcina | 80c | 15.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.03 | 336 | 73.2%246 W · 90 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 78cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Dalibor Svrcina | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Poznan: Gonzalo Bueno vs Dalibor Svrcinathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Bueno vs SvrcinaSvrcina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.