Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë win on 2026-08-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d6bd8e0704046111da9a1dc7911d86d361b525d805df52e6a20e7acae524573
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,865
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,673
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,865 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 14c | 3,241$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.74 | 144 | 34.7%50 W · 94 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 52c | 2,146$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.29 | 1,895 | 38.7%734 W · 1,161 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 21c | 1,290$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.73 | 2,795 | 34.8%973 W · 1,822 L | -86.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 10c | 1,242$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.23 | 384 | 31.5%121 W · 263 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 52c | 1,029$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.13 | 659 | 43.9%289 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 94 | 27.7%26 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Yes | 43c | 973.66$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.34 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed No | 66c | 815$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.1 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Yes | 13c | 667.41$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.69 | 143 | 58%83 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 13c | 657$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.24 | 414 | 42.3%175 W · 239 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…317abacked No | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…5102backed Yes | 12c | 465.93$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.58 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 26cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Yes | 50c | 444.7$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 78c | 422.84$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.64 | 222 | 37.8%84 W · 138 L | -14.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8474…c1a5backed Yes | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cc…09a3backed No | 47c | 210.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.03 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 26c | 207.31$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.87 | 851 | 42%357 W · 494 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 13c | 173.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 147 | 49%72 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 69c | 145.81$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.63 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked No | 41c | 137.32$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.02 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f83…7052backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x852e…e616backed No | 44c | 54.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe23c…5ae7backed No | 46c | 53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed No | 39c | 50.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Yes | 53c | 42.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 130 | 67.7%88 W · 42 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39f9…fcc3backed No | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 72c | 21.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 537 | 47.9%257 W · 280 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 68c | 19.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 61c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 347 | 54.8%190 W · 157 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë win on 2026-08-27?this page
- Will Lillestrøm SK vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-08-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.