Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Lillestrøm SK vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa90d67bd024c4c806d6d87ce2c15e1f9fe9e9c9aafa8d947be1ff46f9d7000e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,580
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,829
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,580 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 31c | 2,000$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.27 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Yes | 24c | 1,473$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.26 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 79c | 1,290$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.29 | 2,795 | 34.8%973 W · 1,822 L | -86.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 69c | 1,113$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.69 | 1,895 | 38.7%734 W · 1,161 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 69c | 976.12$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.33 | 659 | 43.9%289 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed No | 75c | 332.84$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 60 | 80%48 W · 12 L | +13.7wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 51c | 147.75$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.1 | 851 | 42%357 W · 494 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…cdebbacked No | 16c | 130$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 32c | 102.22$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.51 | 222 | 37.8%84 W · 138 L | -14.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 79c | 86.94$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.68 | 1,793 | 54.8%983 W · 810 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 79c | 84.87$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.05 | 1,200 | 47.4%569 W · 631 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 80c | 64.39$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 143 | 58%83 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 79c | 45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 308 | 51%157 W · 151 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 33c | 42.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 38c | 37.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 347 | 54.8%190 W · 157 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a00…59e2backed No | 79c | 31.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 69cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39f9…fcc3backed No | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 54c | 29.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed No | 65c | 20.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Yes | 72c | 20.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Yes | 69c | 14.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc14f…0ee1backed No | 79c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed No | 78c | 13.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 331 | 42.9%142 W · 189 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lillestrøm SK vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë end in a draw?this page
- Will KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë win on 2026-08-27?No won
- Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-08-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.