Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-08-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c69472626ceebfb24911da7fec59cdd99b4e00e50f8538f47f5178f8cd07dfb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,668
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,668 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x821d…cf16backed No | 79c | 5,739$4,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.58 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -14.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 25c | 4,356$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.07 | 659 | 43.9%289 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a6…a2ebbacked No | 66c | 2,891$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.84 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 27c | 2,101$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.55 | 3,247 | 42.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 56c | 1,814$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.5 | 1,222 | 45.3%553 W · 669 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 32c | 1,755$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.11 | 143 | 58%83 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 17c | 1,226$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.24 | 1,895 | 38.7%734 W · 1,161 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 32c | 1,201$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.65 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 13c | 1,090$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.25 | 2,795 | 34.8%973 W · 1,822 L | -86.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 1,041 | 48%500 W · 541 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe23c…5ae7backed Yes | 20c | 999.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 73c | 745.4$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.6 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 63c | 614.19$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.66 | 2,434 | 37.3%909 W · 1,525 L | -9.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 31c | 587.32$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.95 | 1,034 | 50.8%525 W · 509 L | +16.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…2501backed Yes | 67c | 373.13$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 15c | 354.73$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.21 | 54 | 7.4%4 W · 50 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 32c | 333$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.44 | 384 | 31.5%121 W · 263 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c5…c8c1backed Yes | 68c | 333$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.44 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 71cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 68c | 329.52$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.02 | 1,200 | 47.4%569 W · 631 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 31c | 313$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.97 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 17c | 200.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 851 | 42%357 W · 494 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc057…4d23backed Yes | 14c | 199.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…aaf4backed Yes | 32c | 151.88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 27c | 113.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x852e…e616backed Yes | 22c | 108.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02b9…60c6backed No | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 32c | 94.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 1,793 | 54.8%983 W · 810 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 69c | 80.36$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.22 | 1,219 | 36.3%442 W · 777 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 65c | 80$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 891 | 53.4%476 W · 415 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed No | 50c | 78.72$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 18c | 77.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 147 | 49%72 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeccf…08a9backed Yes | 67c | 75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x002f…92f3backed Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes | 65c | 69.6$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 33c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 636 | 49.5%315 W · 321 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd3…ac03backed No | 34c | 59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 66c | 53.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Yes | 66c | 52.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 153 | 45.1%69 W · 84 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb2…b26cbacked Yes | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked No | 32c | 40.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.35 | 81 | 35.8%29 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…cdebbacked Yes | 34c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes | 68c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 33c | 35.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 632 | 49.1%310 W · 322 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 33c | 31.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 495 | 55.4%274 W · 221 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed No | 34c | 29.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed No | 60c | 22.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-08-27?this page
- Will KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë win on 2026-08-27?No won
- Will Lillestrøm SK vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.