Tennis · resolved market
China Open: Linda Noskova vs Amanda Anisimova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6dbe7d9abdcd1793fb2b6cc8044292a1a04b44239bd1b7fd0b3840a3dbc6612c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Anisimovaof Noskova, Anisimova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,047
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,047 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd16a…7691backed Anisimova | 75c | 27,148$20,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,768.21 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3868…5683backed Noskova | 29c | 11,000$3,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,190 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Noskova | 27c | 9,412$2,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,556.2 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Noskova | 25c | 6,148$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.83 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a77…54d7backed Noskova | 29c | 3,778$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Anisimova | 74c | 3,403$2,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.84 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9b…211dbacked Anisimova | 70c | 3,253$2,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.37 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Noskova | 25c | 3,141$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.52 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Anisimova | 71c | 2,079$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.3 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Noskova | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 364 | 40.9%149 W · 215 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Anisimova | 73c | 1,550$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413 | 252 | 44.4%112 W · 140 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Noskova | 28c | 1,230$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Noskova | 27c | 1,200$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Anisimova | 74c | 1,117$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.42 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Anisimova | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Anisimova | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +12.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Noskova | 33c | 358.5$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.47 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Noskova | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7f…90c5backed Anisimova | 74c | 339.19$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.19 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -7.5wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa91…eac3backed Anisimova | 73c | 306$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f8…a24dbacked Noskova | 29c | 264.21$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f1…7ca5backed Noskova | 34c | 250.39$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Noskova | 16c | 247$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 257 | 43.6%112 W · 145 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Noskova | 20c | 215.31$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.08 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Anisimova | 71c | 206.77$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.96 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Noskova | 26c | 195.87$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.93 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Anisimova | 67c | 150$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Noskova | 26c | 142.22$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.35 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Noskova | 27c | 129.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf97…beb5backed Noskova | 32c | 123.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Noskova | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Anisimova | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe49c…773ebacked Anisimova | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Anisimova | 66c | 99.56$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5a…5787backed Noskova | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Noskova | 29c | 69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf17…3eeebacked Anisimova | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Anisimova | 78c | 67.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Anisimova | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3f…994fbacked Anisimova | 76c | 65.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Anisimova | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed Anisimova | 73c | 40.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…95dcbacked Anisimova | 74c | 26.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.