Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: DOGSENT vs MODUS (BO3) - European Pro League Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e0560b9f0c5acca1022e0686eba88e692ade24392010bf5b5684866d772cafd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MODUSof DOGSENT, MODUS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,844
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,286
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,844 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked DOGSENT | 26c | 1,634$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.56 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed MODUS | 65c | 1,107$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.49 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed MODUS | 74c | 999.99$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.67 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked DOGSENT | 13c | 918.84$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.1 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked MODUS | 79c | 865.72$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.09 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed MODUS | 67c | 816.91$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.34 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed DOGSENT | 26c | 619.23$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked DOGSENT | 32c | 561$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.78 | 138 | 54.3%75 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked DOGSENT | 27c | 420$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab71…2adabacked DOGSENT | 24c | 416.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed DOGSENT | 26c | 380.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed MODUS | 79c | 357.8$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.82 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed MODUS | 73c | 352.17$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.28 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8832…1fc4backed DOGSENT | 30c | 333.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 44.9%53 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed DOGSENT | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked MODUS | 67c | 199.97$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked DOGSENT | 27c | 196.84$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.26 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed DOGSENT | 24c | 195.83$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MODUS | 71c | 171.72$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked MODUS | 72c | 168.93$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.87 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed DOGSENT | 34c | 161.06$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.22 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked MODUS | 67c | 148.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.43 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked DOGSENT | 24c | 146.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed DOGSENT | 33c | 136.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 189 | 54%102 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked MODUS | 78c | 132.25$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked DOGSENT | 28c | 114.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed DOGSENT | 39c | 114.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MODUS | 76c | 100.79$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…3841backed DOGSENT | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 209 | 39.2%82 W · 127 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56f0…3068backed DOGSENT | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 80 | 31.3%25 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…07c7backed DOGSENT | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked DOGSENT | 18c | 96.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…4447backed DOGSENT | 25c | 96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed DOGSENT | 24c | 78.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfff2…3f58backed DOGSENT | 21c | 72.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed DOGSENT | 27c | 67.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked MODUS | 72c | 59.72$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked DOGSENT | 24c | 57.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 245 | 18.8%46 W · 199 L | -31.2wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -46%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed DOGSENT | 23c | 57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked MODUS | 75c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed MODUS | 75c | 53.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked DOGSENT | 24c | 50.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed DOGSENT | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 308 | 34.1%105 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed MODUS | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ab…3ebdbacked MODUS | 78c | 45.15$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…8063backed DOGSENT | 25c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked MODUS | 71c | 43.54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36e8…db37backed MODUS | 79c | 42.57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed DOGSENT | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 169 | 39.6%67 W · 102 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed MODUS | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed MODUS | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…fd63backed MODUS | 66c | 28.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd015…ec20backed MODUS | 77c | 27.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…c990backed MODUS | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab4…5c9cbacked MODUS | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 49 | 85.7%42 W · 7 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 75cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2628…39cfbacked MODUS | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 177 | 63.8%113 W · 64 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8de…44febacked MODUS | 77c | 19.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: DOGSENT vs MODUS (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: DOGSENT vs MODUS - Game 1 WinnerDOGSENT won
- Dota 2: DOGSENT vs MODUS - Game 2 WinnerMODUS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.