Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e4cb71d7afa4d6101c4494aea5cf5200120b46d80887d386a17b74f3167419f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof PARIVISION, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,638
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed PARIVISION | 50c | 4,920$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked PARIVISION | 16c | 3,600$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.54 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked PARIVISION | 56c | 3,494$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960.42 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Spirit | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked Team Spirit | 51c | 2,956$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.4 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x898e…f062backed PARIVISION | 57c | 2,381$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.27 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked Team Spirit | 49c | 2,032$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.98 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Team Spirit | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked PARIVISION | 51c | 1,627$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.52 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed PARIVISION | 35c | 1,506$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.09 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked PARIVISION | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.99 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8664…9981backed Team Spirit | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Team Spirit | 48c | 673.86$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.34 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Spirit | 43c | 656.12$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.75 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed PARIVISION | 57c | 584.93$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.51 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Team Spirit | 49c | 579.76$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.68 | 197 | 43.1%85 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Team Spirit | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Spirit | 42c | 417.11$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.92 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe81c…a724backed Team Spirit | 51c | 409.98$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.89 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…9a81backed PARIVISION | 11c | 393.38$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…46ddbacked Team Spirit | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…349fbacked Team Spirit | 53c | 358.6$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.54 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed PARIVISION | 54c | 260$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64df…b618backed PARIVISION | 18c | 247.22$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed PARIVISION | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc76b…5fbabacked Team Spirit | 50c | 132.12$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.06 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1be…dc41backed Team Spirit | 44c | 108.69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…51f7backed PARIVISION | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -6.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked PARIVISION | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed PARIVISION | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 205 | 30.7%63 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked PARIVISION | 50c | 95.1$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b88fbacked Team Spirit | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Team Spirit | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Spirit | 58c | 62.03$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Team Spirit | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4218…8b6cbacked Team Spirit | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed Team Spirit | 63c | 35.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 203 | 61.6%125 W · 78 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Spirit | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6634…8bf2backed Team Spirit | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3)Team Spirit won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.