Asian League · resolved market
Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-05-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6eb36fba65b594bd07d6ca3bb2f4c992a89350ea7d711c951c6401ca316ad3c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,996
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,026
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,996 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Yes | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 56c | 2,121$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.58 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 718.42$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.45 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x780f…5f16backed Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 25c | 397.22$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.95 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 11c | 316.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 59c | 275.17$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.73 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 6c | 246$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -54%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Yes | 11c | 198.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 71c | 189.07$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.13 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Yes | 9c | 186$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005a…1349backed No | 60c | 165.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.48 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 61c | 163.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 56c | 162.56$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.13 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 44c | 152.56$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.13 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Yes | 22c | 128$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 39c | 102.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…5ba6backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 44c | 97.73$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 16c | 94.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 57c | 86.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.71 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa6…9361backed Yes | 45c | 82.22$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 16c | 77.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 64c | 70.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 60c | 59.65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 80c | 50.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 56c | 50.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Yes | 40c | 50.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…a0d0backed No | 63c | 47.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 70c | 43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +33.9wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 42c | 31.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 58c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 56c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-05-17?this page
- Will Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Pohang Steelers FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-05-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.