NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f99ca39bfbf1ad9d93b21e9bfa78fea94a4df6aac2709f7b37182f875bcee06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Trail Blazers, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,642
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,250
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,642 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ba2…18a5backed Trail Blazers | 15c | 4,027$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604 | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Trail Blazers | 15c | 3,075$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.81 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Trail Blazers | 7c | 3,000$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.79 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Trail Blazers | 14c | 2,738$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.87 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698c…5f40backed Trail Blazers | 9c | 1,900$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.56 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0238…ba26backed Trail Blazers | 16c | 1,406$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Trail Blazers | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Trail Blazers | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb228…2734backed Trail Blazers | 7c | 998.05$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.58 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Trail Blazers | 4c | 859.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…c212backed Trail Blazers | 10c | 771.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.76 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Timberwolves | 65c | 509.99$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.6 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Trail Blazers | 35c | 499.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a9…6771backed Trail Blazers | 16c | 442.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Trail Blazers | 6c | 405.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Trail Blazers | 7c | 247.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1999…fedbbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 215.08$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…24c2backed Trail Blazers | 15c | 199.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x603a…fc8bbacked Trail Blazers | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead7…efedbacked Trail Blazers | 16c | 128.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…cd66backed Trail Blazers | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa1…1928backed Trail Blazers | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -42%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf93b…bb37backed Trail Blazers | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 276 | 42%116 W · 160 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4384…f52fbacked Trail Blazers | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…9d02backed Trail Blazers | 15c | 99.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Timberwolves | 65c | 91.01$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.52 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0e…9a38backed Trail Blazers | 16c | 81.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +119.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5f…12c5backed Trail Blazers | 15c | 77.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce3…0b89backed Trail Blazers | 15c | 74.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 40cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…66f5backed Trail Blazers | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…5c94backed Trail Blazers | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Trail Blazers | 17c | 59.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Timberwolves | 59c | 50.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9c…ad87backed Trail Blazers | 22c | 49.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +121.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8024…ba91backed Timberwolves | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.