South American Leagues · resolved market
Atlético San Luis vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fa12febf6b433c312a72734569e5e4248a485906cf7b433c69180612377e3f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,460
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,414
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,460 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Under | 48c | 45,082$21,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,459.88 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 52c | 24,712$12,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,850.49 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 5,606$2,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,734.15 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 5,037$2,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,413.47 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 52c | 3,629$1,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890.55 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 52c | 1,637$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.45 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 14c | 1,357$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Over | 52c | 502.59$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.68 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 52c | 484.54$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.96 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 52c | 480$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 310 | 39.7%123 W · 187 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 46c | 273$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.17 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 54c | 230$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.76 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…c89ebacked Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Over | 52c | 192.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 52c | 161$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.72 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 8c | 141.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Over | 52c | 123$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.96 | 193 | 49.2%95 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 34c | 116.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Over | 52c | 95.19$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 88.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.65 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Over | 52c | 83$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 23c | 79.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Over | 52c | 79.16$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.17 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…f409backed Over | 52c | 76.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 19c | 75.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 45c | 65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 49c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 52c | 50.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 53c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 44c | 39.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 47c | 39.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 48c | 39.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Under | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 52c | 32.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…b949backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 54c | 26.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 52c | 26.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 52c | 23.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Over | 52c | 22.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 142 | 64.1%91 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlético San Luis vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 2.5this page
- Atlético San Luis vs. CF Pachuca: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Atlético San Luis vs. CF Pachuca: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Atlético San Luis vs. CF Pachuca: Atlético San Luis O/U 0.5Over won
- Atlético San Luis vs. CF Pachuca: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Atlético San Luis vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 0.5Over won
- Atlético San Luis vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 1.5Over won
- Atlético San Luis vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 3.5Under won
- Atlético San Luis vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Atlético San Luis (-1.5)CF Pachuca won
- Spread: Atlético San Luis (-2.5)CF Pachuca won
- Spread: CF Pachuca (-1.5)Atlético San Luis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.