Tennis · resolved market
Centurion 2: Robert Strombachs vs Philip Henning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fd3ba0c7055de5746c35abf2c3b5ff0cab0279b03ab634e1123d2220c249e9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philip Henningof Robert Strombachs, Philip Henning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,058
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,132
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,058 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4c5…f3bebacked Robert Strombachs | 30c | 3,557$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.97 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Philip Henning | 69c | 2,637$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.97 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Robert Strombachs | 12c | 2,616$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.1 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Robert Strombachs | 30c | 2,060$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.1 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Robert Strombachs | 10c | 1,894$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.07 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Robert Strombachs | 6c | 1,783$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.61 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Robert Strombachs | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Philip Henning | 78c | 1,157$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.7 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…a5d6backed Philip Henning | 72c | 1,113$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.25 | 504 | 58.9%297 W · 207 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f5…09ddbacked Robert Strombachs | 2c | 931.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 78 | 11.5%9 W · 69 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74bd…d371backed Robert Strombachs | 14c | 797.87$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.34 | 421 | 25.7%108 W · 313 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Robert Strombachs | 14c | 729.75$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.19 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Robert Strombachs | 12c | 520.33$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.51 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Robert Strombachs | 14c | 421.34$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.07 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Philip Henning | 72c | 416.65$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.22 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Robert Strombachs | 28c | 316.17$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.53 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf8…75e4backed Robert Strombachs | 28c | 255.59$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.75 | 193 | 43.5%84 W · 109 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Philip Henning | 70c | 246$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Philip Henning | 72c | 224.37$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.82 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Philip Henning | 76c | 185.58$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.54 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Robert Strombachs | 28c | 163.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Robert Strombachs | 27c | 130$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Philip Henning | 70c | 120$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 478 | 54.8%262 W · 216 L | +25.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Philip Henning | 70c | 114$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Philip Henning | 72c | 98$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Philip Henning | 69c | 91$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa02c…da7abacked Robert Strombachs | 13c | 84.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Philip Henning | 68c | 82.67$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Robert Strombachs | 30c | 71.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Robert Strombachs | 16c | 70.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a311backed Robert Strombachs | 28c | 69.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Robert Strombachs | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Robert Strombachs | 25c | 51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 513 | 39.4%202 W · 311 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Philip Henning | 70c | 46.3$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…12a3backed Philip Henning | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Robert Strombachs | 29c | 41.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked Robert Strombachs | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Philip Henning | 75c | 34.91$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf59b…7ab0backed Philip Henning | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Philip Henning | 69c | 27.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 392 | 38.8%152 W · 240 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Philip Henning | 73c | 23.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Philip Henning | 70c | 22.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Philip Henning | 70c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 491 | 51.7%254 W · 237 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Philip Henning | 72c | 17.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Philip Henning | 74c | 16.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.