MLB · resolved market
Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fe72b2725632b9003884c99484ac6947d115c67cbdf9f318c134e32f68b86d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas City Royalsof Chicago White Sox, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,325
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,325 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Chicago White Sox | 0c | 3,748$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Chicago White Sox | 45c | 1,500$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.26 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Kansas City Royals | 55c | 1,171$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.11 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Kansas City Royals | 57c | 1,097$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.01 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Kansas City Royals | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.91 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 851.24$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Chicago White Sox | 45c | 681.37$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.34 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Kansas City Royals | 55c | 364.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.74 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Chicago White Sox | 47c | 320.4$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.59 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Chicago White Sox | 44c | 303$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.32 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Chicago White Sox | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Chicago White Sox | 4c | 300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Kansas City Royals | 55c | 283$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.64 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Chicago White Sox | 44c | 278$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.32 | 310 | 38.4%119 W · 191 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Chicago White Sox | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kansas City Royals | 55c | 239$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.67 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Chicago White Sox | 44c | 231.23$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.92 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Chicago White Sox | 44c | 206$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.53 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked Chicago White Sox | 44c | 173.69$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.42 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Chicago White Sox | 45c | 132.12$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.17 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Chicago White Sox | 44c | 122.38$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Chicago White Sox | 45c | 117.78$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Kansas City Royals | 55c | 110$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Chicago White Sox | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Chicago White Sox | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Chicago White Sox | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Chicago White Sox | 46c | 95.47$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.92 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…f6afbacked Kansas City Royals | 33c | 92.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.06 | 310 | 32.9%102 W · 208 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Kansas City Royals | 77c | 81.92$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Kansas City Royals | 53c | 79$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Chicago White Sox | 44c | 67.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 393 | 44.3%174 W · 219 L | -22.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Chicago White Sox | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Kansas City Royals | 67c | 60.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Chicago White Sox | 45c | 57.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Kansas City Royals | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Chicago White Sox | 61c | 53.78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Chicago White Sox | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22be…e36ebacked Chicago White Sox | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Chicago White Sox | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…dd4fbacked Chicago White Sox | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Chicago White Sox | 45c | 45.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Chicago White Sox | 35c | 41.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Chicago White Sox | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Chicago White Sox | 44c | 36.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Chicago White Sox | 44c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Chicago White Sox | 46c | 30.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -23.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Chicago White Sox | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…3773backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Chicago White Sox | 45c | 29.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Chicago White Sox | 44c | 27.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…ad71backed Chicago White Sox | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 21.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Kansas City Royals | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.