MLB · resolved market
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Doosan Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fe7436b37a85729be49450bbcab54949deb69166b9849d3b1aaac00551ff810
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Doosan Bearsof Lotte Giants, Doosan Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,156
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,245
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,156 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8579…185fbacked Doosan Bears | 58c | 1,289$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.02 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lotte Giants | 4c | 1,026$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.46 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lotte Giants | 41c | 742.58$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.84 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Doosan Bears | 73c | 499$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.2 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…e13ebacked Lotte Giants | 31c | 427.05$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.51 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Lotte Giants | 44c | 257.06$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.11 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ceb…0720backed Doosan Bears | 56c | 176.34$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Lotte Giants | 45c | 159.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.59 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed4e…916fbacked Doosan Bears | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…1432backed Lotte Giants | 46c | 136.89$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.34 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Lotte Giants | 31c | 109$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.14 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Doosan Bears | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Doosan Bears | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Doosan Bears | 73c | 92.5$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Doosan Bears | 54c | 90.06$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Lotte Giants | 45c | 79.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Lotte Giants | 43c | 78.36$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Doosan Bears | 79c | 78.2$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Lotte Giants | 31c | 77.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Doosan Bears | 57c | 75.44$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…d0f1backed Doosan Bears | 53c | 68.89$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.38 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…9917backed Lotte Giants | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d6…5c3abacked Doosan Bears | 56c | 63.01$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Doosan Bears | 55c | 60.85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Lotte Giants | 45c | 59.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Doosan Bears | 77c | 51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Lotte Giants | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Lotte Giants | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Lotte Giants | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Lotte Giants | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Lotte Giants | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Lotte Giants | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Lotte Giants | 45c | 47.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Doosan Bears | 55c | 46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Doosan Bears | 72c | 41.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Doosan Bears | 78c | 40.56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x304a…05ecbacked Lotte Giants | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Lotte Giants | 45c | 39.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 221 | 51.6%114 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Lotte Giants | 45c | 33.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 395 | 53.7%212 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Lotte Giants | 45c | 32.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 373 | 49.6%185 W · 188 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Lotte Giants | 43c | 27.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Lotte Giants | 39c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 391 | 51.9%203 W · 188 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cc…2cb0backed Doosan Bears | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a6…6684backed Doosan Bears | 61c | 21.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 55 | 81.8%45 W · 10 L | +11.4wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x170a…c8a9backed Doosan Bears | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…e6d8backed Doosan Bears | 54c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.