NHL · resolved market
SHL: Skellefteaa vs. Luleaa
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x701b89fcf2c1cba766c5a8fa2e88ebd41e0463803e56d1df936860dfc84bca41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Skellefteaaof Skellefteaa, Luleaa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,572
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,572 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Luleaa | 18c | 285.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.45 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Luleaa | 46c | 224.92$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.94 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Skellefteaa | 53c | 194.34$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.6 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Luleaa | 16c | 187.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Luleaa | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Skellefteaa | 80c | 94.02$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Luleaa | 16c | 92.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Luleaa | 33c | 90.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…ad93backed Skellefteaa | 71c | 84.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 56 | 76.8%43 W · 13 L | +10.8wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Skellefteaa | 64c | 79.38$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Skellefteaa | 64c | 63.66$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | -12.7wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7484…5ed3backed Luleaa | 41c | 58.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Skellefteaa | 66c | 58.01$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Luleaa | 40c | 57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Skellefteaa | 69c | 55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Luleaa | 31c | 48.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Skellefteaa | 76c | 44.7$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac50…d728backed Luleaa | 35c | 41.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x85aa…ffdbbacked Skellefteaa | 72c | 37.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Skellefteaa | 70c | 32.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…5403backed Skellefteaa | 66c | 32.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd3…0d61backed Skellefteaa | 70c | 28.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…6d7abacked Skellefteaa | 59c | 26.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Skellefteaa | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…3243backed Skellefteaa | 70c | 18.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Skellefteaa | 76c | 17.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Skellefteaa | 62c | 16.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.