Tennis · resolved market
St. Brieuc: Matteo Martineau vs Antoine Ghibaudo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x703cbf59c7377ec256b93445788e33558cf59706a6334d0ef9a4e2b38ebfe94d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Martineauof Martineau, Ghibaudo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,084
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,815
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,084 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Martineau | 36c | 2,962$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,903.57 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ghibaudo | 54c | 2,748$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.33 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ghibaudo | 49c | 1,841$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.14 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Ghibaudo | 48c | 1,718$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.76 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Ghibaudo | 60c | 1,451$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.47 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Martineau | 40c | 1,353$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.58 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Martineau | 50c | 782.4$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.4 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Martineau | 54c | 711$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.41 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Martineau | 58c | 557$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.94 | 166 | 48.8%81 W · 85 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Ghibaudo | 59c | 526.48$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.83 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Martineau | 54c | 466.27$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.24 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Ghibaudo | 56c | 448$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Martineau | 52c | 372$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.01 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Ghibaudo | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 363 | 49.9%181 W · 182 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3d…3ec1backed Martineau | 36c | 269.81$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.81 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ghibaudo | 59c | 257$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.77 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed Ghibaudo | 68c | 237.73$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.27 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Martineau | 63c | 230.1$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.1 | 207 | 48.3%100 W · 107 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Martineau | 38c | 204.64$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.65 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Ghibaudo | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.21 | 465 | 51.2%238 W · 227 L | -23.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…dea4backed Ghibaudo | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd211…628bbacked Ghibaudo | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Martineau | 38c | 198.42$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.64 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Martineau | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Ghibaudo | 47c | 141.42$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.77 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb0…4c2dbacked Ghibaudo | 56c | 131.67$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.66 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ghibaudo | 53c | 123.53$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.68 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7b…20bbbacked Ghibaudo | 44c | 112.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed57…83f4backed Ghibaudo | 67c | 110$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89fd…da5dbacked Martineau | 76c | 103.86$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Martineau | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 310 | 39.4%122 W · 188 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed Ghibaudo | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked Martineau | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Martineau | 53c | 87$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Martineau | 55c | 86.17$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.77 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e5…c3d4backed Martineau | 55c | 72.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Ghibaudo | 43c | 72.09$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Martineau | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Martineau | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 255 | 46.3%118 W · 137 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef9…916abacked Martineau | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79e9…80b1backed Martineau | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -12.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Martineau | 61c | 48.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…a871backed Martineau | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Martineau | 55c | 38.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Martineau | 55c | 36.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Martineau | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb152…ef4cbacked Ghibaudo | 60c | 29.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Ghibaudo | 57c | 26.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Martineau | 41c | 26.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Ghibaudo | 57c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae1…9910backed Ghibaudo | 71c | 19.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Ghibaudo | 63c | 16.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.