Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Syracuse Orange vs. Iowa State Cyclones (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70ad374e096f5f095b3d755aa0f87be68966b6d0600be43c0a03a1b26b592693
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Syracuse Orangeof Syracuse Orange, Iowa State Cyclones
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,173
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,173 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Iowa State Cyclones | 9c | 4,752$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.87 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Iowa State Cyclones | 8c | 2,000$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.23 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Syracuse Orange | 34c | 1,324$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.64 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Iowa State Cyclones | 7c | 1,162$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.06 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Iowa State Cyclones | 50c | 327.18$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.39 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed Iowa State Cyclones | 15c | 306.76$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.01 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Iowa State Cyclones | 5c | 289$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…1e38backed Syracuse Orange | 29c | 285.34$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.59 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Iowa State Cyclones | 67c | 285$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.95 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Iowa State Cyclones | 56c | 283.91$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.22 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…fcf3backed Syracuse Orange | 33c | 250$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.5 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Iowa State Cyclones | 10c | 105.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 334 | 45.5%152 W · 182 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb68…c695backed Iowa State Cyclones | 14c | 79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Syracuse Orange | 71c | 67.25$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Iowa State Cyclones | 73c | 57.6$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.05 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Syracuse Orange | 32c | 54.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.06 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Syracuse Orange | 33c | 53.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Iowa State Cyclones | 56c | 52.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Iowa State Cyclones | 75c | 39.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a2…23a0backed Syracuse Orange | 44c | 36.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Iowa State Cyclones | 66c | 26.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Iowa State Cyclones | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.