Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks vs. Western Illinois Leathernecks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70afebf2f59b56684ea0fb51f629f658945d65c21a0dbc7b0adce1e736fcd94a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Southeast Missouri State Redhawksof Southeast Missouri State Redhawks, Western Illinois Leathernecks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,060
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,060 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 78c | 2,377$1,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.58 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Western Illinois Leathernecks | 18c | 2,154$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.19 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Western Illinois Leathernecks | 27c | 1,293$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.11 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 70c | 1,169$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.35 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Western Illinois Leathernecks | 19c | 1,030$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Western Illinois Leathernecks | 31c | 975.73$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.95 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Western Illinois Leathernecks | 18c | 746.6$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.22 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 75c | 692.82$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.85 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 78c | 350$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 80c | 349.84$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.32 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa302…6c3fbacked Western Illinois Leathernecks | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 59 | 10.2%6 W · 53 L | -8.3wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Western Illinois Leathernecks | 17c | 296.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Western Illinois Leathernecks | 14c | 226.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Western Illinois Leathernecks | 20c | 129.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 78c | 112.87$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Western Illinois Leathernecks | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Western Illinois Leathernecks | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Western Illinois Leathernecks | 21c | 94.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc01…d914backed Western Illinois Leathernecks | 22c | 93.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 125 | 37.6%47 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Western Illinois Leathernecks | 18c | 85.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…d3abbacked Western Illinois Leathernecks | 17c | 76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 202 | 34.2%69 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 75c | 68.06$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 79c | 25.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 70c | 20.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Southeast Missouri State Redhawks vs. Western Illinois Leathernecksthis page
- Southeast Missouri State Redhawks vs. Western Illinois Leathernecks: O/U 141.5Over won
- Spread: Southeast Missouri State Redhawks (-9.5)Western Illinois Leathernecks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.