MLB · resolved market
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Lotte Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70b6aa55440f759d4f6d259a47dd9a63aa57d55d0a183eb69a06b5094a9eeb4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NC Dinosof NC Dinos, Lotte Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,161
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,461
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,161 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed NC Dinos | 50c | 11,309$5,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,692.7 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Lotte Giants | 50c | 8,785$4,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,408.75 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lotte Giants | 25c | 6,384$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565.79 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed NC Dinos | 75c | 3,180$2,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.56 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Lotte Giants | 50c | 2,531$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.11 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Lotte Giants | 11c | 1,137$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.6 | 717 | 50.1%359 W · 358 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Lotte Giants | 25c | 1,120$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.67 | 1,167 | 49%572 W · 595 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Lotte Giants | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Lotte Giants | 65c | 382$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.3 | 369 | 32.8%121 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed NC Dinos | 49c | 275.57$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.54 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed NC Dinos | 51c | 215.69$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -6.3wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked NC Dinos | 50c | 197.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.67 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Lotte Giants | 50c | 190$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked NC Dinos | 80c | 187$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.29 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Lotte Giants | 51c | 186$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.06 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…aa9dbacked Lotte Giants | 32c | 185.74$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 94 | 24.5%23 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lotte Giants | 28c | 169$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Lotte Giants | 43c | 150$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 945 | 55.2%522 W · 423 L | +31.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed NC Dinos | 74c | 120.58$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed NC Dinos | 50c | 119.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.57 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked NC Dinos | 71c | 110$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked Lotte Giants | 32c | 103.52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed NC Dinos | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 264 | 44.3%117 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ce…27bdbacked Lotte Giants | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked Lotte Giants | 30c | 99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed NC Dinos | 67c | 97.35$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked NC Dinos | 51c | 90.2$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba4…f918backed NC Dinos | 61c | 82.96$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x304a…05ecbacked Lotte Giants | 23c | 81.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Lotte Giants | 24c | 81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Lotte Giants | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed NC Dinos | 50c | 79.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.92 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Lotte Giants | 41c | 73.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed NC Dinos | 71c | 69.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 624 | 54.2%338 W · 286 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…b3c3backed NC Dinos | 65c | 67.71$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…caa6backed Lotte Giants | 20c | 67.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed NC Dinos | 78c | 63.71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 250 | 53.2%133 W · 117 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed NC Dinos | 71c | 52.69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 779 | 52.1%406 W · 373 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Lotte Giants | 46c | 47.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 473 | 46.5%220 W · 253 L | +25.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed NC Dinos | 50c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 223 | 52.5%117 W · 106 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db9…cdc5backed NC Dinos | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Lotte Giants | 49c | 37.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed Lotte Giants | 46c | 35.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a85…e543backed NC Dinos | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed NC Dinos | 73c | 33.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Lotte Giants | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 455 | 50.3%229 W · 226 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed NC Dinos | 74c | 28.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 362 | 68%246 W · 116 L | +34.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Lotte Giants | 50c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 166 | 61.4%102 W · 64 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed Lotte Giants | 42c | 24.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed NC Dinos | 80c | 22.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed NC Dinos | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…f5bdbacked Lotte Giants | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed NC Dinos | 75c | 19.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.