Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 168.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x712e5a130c3072f17bfbaed71c08576d1c40e46ccefff2b3dd200780d3752234
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,647
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,802
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,647 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Under | 57c | 808.01$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.44 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…3438backed Under | 56c | 700$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Over | 44c | 564.09$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.2 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 50c | 377.03$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.73 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 50c | 299.13$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.56 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 46c | 277.05$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.24 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Over | 45c | 270.96$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.93 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 43c | 264.19$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.67 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 46c | 140.62$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.59 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Under | 56c | 127.46$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.08 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 44c | 113.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 58c | 110$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Under | 53c | 103.26$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 229 | 50.7%116 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 43c | 93.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.23 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 51c | 78.09$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.26 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc605…fc49backed Under | 73c | 61.22$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 49c | 60.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 44c | 55.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 48.57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 48c | 27.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 44c | 23.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oklahoma Sooners vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 168.5this page
- Oklahoma Sooners vs. Arkansas RazorbacksArkansas Razorbacks won
- Oklahoma Sooners vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 162.5Under won
- Oklahoma Sooners vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 165.5Under won
- Oklahoma Sooners vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 167.5Under won
- Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-1.5)Arkansas Razorbacks won
- Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-2.5)Arkansas Razorbacks won
- Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-3.5)Oklahoma Sooners won
- Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-6.5)Oklahoma Sooners won
- Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-7.5)Oklahoma Sooners won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.