Serie A · resolved market
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-08-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71f8ff723da32fec087acf4f25f7a4518ba0315f7518a26c19ae069bcb29734b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,304
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,304 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 14c | 7,456$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.31 | 380 | 39.7%151 W · 229 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 2c | 7,155$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.89 | 2,023 | 39.4%798 W · 1,225 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 14c | 6,184$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.31 | 2,579 | 45.6%1,175 W · 1,404 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 19c | 4,685$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.06 | 238 | 39.1%93 W · 145 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 19c | 4,211$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -48%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7001…2ababacked Yes | 4c | 2,319$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes | 13c | 2,003$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.33 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 17c | 1,308$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.3 | 368 | 27.4%101 W · 267 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6adf…4f5bbacked Yes | 18c | 1,248$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.72 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfd…95c4backed Yes | 18c | 1,172$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4da6…3a54backed Yes | 2c | 845.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 18c | 845.37$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.17 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb697…5d0cbacked Yes | 18c | 838.89$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Yes | 16c | 741.65$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.52 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 19c | 688.8$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.87 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 11c | 610.03$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 18c | 523.67$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.05 | 412 | 53.2%219 W · 193 L | +15.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 18c | 497$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.46 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 18c | 459.65$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.49 | 348 | 52.9%184 W · 164 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffe…4ef8backed Yes | 19c | 450$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 17c | 427.44$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.74 | 418 | 41.1%172 W · 246 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Yes | 15c | 360$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…aaf4backed Yes | 19c | 357.89$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf824…ebe3backed Yes | 19c | 304.01$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8979…3e4abacked Yes | 18c | 299.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.43per pick | 17cpaid | +366.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed Yes | 4c | 275.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae33…ba39backed Yes | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 8c | 215$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacb3…c372backed Yes | 17c | 188$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 14c | 185.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 248 | 46.4%115 W · 133 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 12c | 155$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Yes | 20c | 130$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa28e…74a4backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5a…9682backed Yes | 18c | 110$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cb…6346backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Yes | 19c | 74.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes | 15c | 72.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f92…7379backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-08-24?this page
- Will AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?No won
- Will AS Roma win on 2026-08-24?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.