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Serie A · resolved market

Will AS Roma win on 2026-08-24?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$595,988
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$601,256

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $595,988 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 367 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1b47…d814backed No41c78,514$31,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,878.2711451.8%59 W · 55 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed No30c60,000$18,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,999.994843.8%21 W · 27 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+82.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d30…a42dbacked Yes58c54,438$31,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,863.842835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-28.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Yes63c32,139$20,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,974.291346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+26.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1660…5598backed Yes56c25,000$14,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,000.2757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed No44c24,431$10,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,749.631330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes64c22,148$14,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,873.4338039.7%151 W · 229 L+1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes67c21,399$14,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,022.042,02339.4%798 W · 1,225 L-10.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No42c18,643$7,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,829.991330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-50.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes56c15,000$8,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,599.9711453.5%61 W · 53 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes56c11,117$6,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,891.282147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed No20c10,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-40.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes58c10,000$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,199.8421258.5%124 W · 88 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80cf…30aabacked No21c8,893$1,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,890.8220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No43c8,048$3,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,450.436827.4%101 W · 267 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes70c7,258$5,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,147.66333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-52.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No28c7,190$2,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.462,57945.6%1,175 W · 1,404 L+12.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked No27c5,040$1,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,378.821942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde76…7d17backed Yes56c4,800$2,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,111.97475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd471…edf8backed No43c4,698$2,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,028.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Yes57c4,500$2,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,940.61862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed No27c4,429$1,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,189922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-37.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No42c4,120$1,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,730.314846.6%69 W · 79 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes80c3,972$3,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.487857.7%45 W · 33 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e9e…936ebacked No44c3,900$1,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,71610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes57c3,643$2,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,560.8123839.1%93 W · 145 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No27c3,636$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.0929351.5%151 W · 142 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No43c3,622$1,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,557.433938.5%15 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No43c3,282$1,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,395.37856.4%44 W · 34 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9618…77e6backed Yes63c3,130$1,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.57633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes68c3,018$2,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.676368.3%43 W · 20 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x77fe…a351backed Yes77c3,000$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-19.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe23c…5ae7backed Yes57c3,000$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,300333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed No43c3,000$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,289.992035%7 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x895d…f2a3backed No43c3,000$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,289.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes57c2,867$1,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.134447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes57c2,475$1,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.5711636.2%42 W · 74 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6055…5fdebacked Yes57c2,456$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.14250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes68c2,439$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.21040%4 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-31%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd59…da8ebacked No23c2,129$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf6c…8ce4backed Yes80c2,105$1,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No42c2,045$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.97028.6%20 W · 50 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed No42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+64.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked No42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8403246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Yes56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.98580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+103.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes80c2,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.996838.2%26 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid+8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed No42c1,950$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8191241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46ca…ac4cbacked Yes77c1,941$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.452100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No43c1,926$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.3344654.7%244 W · 202 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd273…17eabacked No24c1,772$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.36837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-41.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes62c1,767$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.48248.8%40 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb00c…dfa2backed Yes57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes79c1,752$1,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.89887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick59cpaid+53%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No41c1,553$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.343528.6%10 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-48.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed No42c1,500$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick35cpaid-80.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No42c1,500$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6303966.7%26 W · 13 L+6.1wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Yes71c1,461$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.93650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes73c1,453$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.083250%16 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes70c1,419$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.821643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24ae…4c80backed No26c1,351$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.35250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes79c1,317$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.5241841.1%172 W · 246 L-1.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x612f…05d8backed No44c1,263$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.8220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No42c1,226$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.3641253.2%219 W · 193 L+15.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No42c1,117$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.6334852.9%184 W · 164 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x674b…8284backed No44c1,100$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked No43c1,100$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.9930%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbcba…c950backed Yes60c1,028$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick38cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4058…49d2backed Yes56c1,002$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.743100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+54.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42019849.5%98 W · 100 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Yes78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2201154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9df3…83c7backed Yes56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.861275%9 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed No26c882.74$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.5120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc73…d984backed Yes55c877.19$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.742100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes57c877.18$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34c…2e29backed Yes58c862.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.071353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb697…5d0cbacked Yes57c850.88$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.88560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+56.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No25c816.18$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.153231.3%10 W · 22 L-5.0wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-35.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes56c797.1$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.751154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed No20c772.59$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.6530%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No26c763.99$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.7332939.5%130 W · 199 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac4c…2200backed Yes64c727.17$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.212100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf8b…cb2cbacked No29c689.65$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5944…764ebacked Yes57c689.28$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No44c687.1$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005349.1%26 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes67c681.08$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.0324846.4%115 W · 133 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaedb…91fdbacked Yes58c630.98$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.33475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+85.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked Yes65c607$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.092572%18 W · 7 L+4.6wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+65.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes79c600.97$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.017356.2%41 W · 32 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No31c580.5$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.962931%9 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No42c579.08$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.2199944.7%447 W · 552 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29a4…205ebacked Yes56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.71250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2224…8c7ebacked Yes56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Yes57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.324100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+63%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x304f…af95backed Yes57c517.54$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9df…210ebacked Yes57c506.95$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.992100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No27c479.19$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.381127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-54.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x34c8…9978backed No43c475.58$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed No44c465.06$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.631346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a49…737abacked Yes80c460$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3491…0242backed No33c457.15$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.