Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7246c2a3bf092e0ff15058493c3d97985af09ac39b083e513d0dfd1c4f1b7a82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,230
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,230 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07cf…a9fabacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 327 | 16.8%55 W · 272 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 3c | 504.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 340 | 39.7%135 W · 205 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 74c | 314.71$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.37 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 20c | 287$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f25…8a2fbacked Yes | 63c | 269.05$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.68 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 22c | 178.05$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.23 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 26c | 135.68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.82 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 22c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eef…eacabacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.09 | 214 | 29.9%64 W · 150 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 78c | 51.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe298…9ef4backed No | 40c | 44.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +162.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 56c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 80c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.