Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Ashlyn Krueger vs Mai Hontama
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72498139b38fe5566492245dc6db42b86a872bdd34afba3c5197259b148af5d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ashlyn Kruegerof Ashlyn Krueger, Mai Hontama
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,209
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,960
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,209 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c50…e0c9backed Mai Hontama | 23c | 15,832$3,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,654.9 | 421 | 31.6%133 W · 288 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ashlyn Krueger | 78c | 10,893$8,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,414.54 | 11,779 | 43.3%5,102 W · 6,677 L | +20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c0…ecf1backed Mai Hontama | 12c | 3,442$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.24 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Mai Hontama | 17c | 1,397$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.49 | 3,891 | 35%1,362 W · 2,529 L | +93.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Mai Hontama | 15c | 1,322$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.35 | 9,406 | 44.3%4,171 W · 5,235 L | -245.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Mai Hontama | 11c | 1,236$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.45 | 269 | 21.2%57 W · 212 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef3…df7fbacked Mai Hontama | 4c | 1,160$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 108 | 16.7%18 W · 90 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Mai Hontama | 15c | 1,154$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.63 | 5,352 | 28.8%1,543 W · 3,809 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68b3…f248backed Mai Hontama | 8c | 1,069$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 22cpaid | +131.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Mai Hontama | 5c | 933.38$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.18 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…bacdbacked Mai Hontama | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Mai Hontama | 16c | 629.6$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.74 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Mai Hontama | 14c | 600.3$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.85 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Mai Hontama | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 7,129 | 39.7%2,832 W · 4,297 L | -14.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…df71backed Mai Hontama | 14c | 575.68$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 429 | 34.7%149 W · 280 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Mai Hontama | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,032 | 50.1%517 W · 515 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mai Hontama | 15c | 393.58$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.21 | 8,834 | 42.5%3,758 W · 5,076 L | -169.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Mai Hontama | 15c | 342.4$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.36 | 4,992 | 38.6%1,927 W · 3,065 L | -19.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Mai Hontama | 17c | 300.62$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 646 | 37.2%240 W · 406 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…7b3bbacked Mai Hontama | 7c | 297.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 838 | 23.2%194 W · 644 L | -58.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Mai Hontama | 4c | 274.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Mai Hontama | 16c | 235.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Mai Hontama | 15c | 199.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Ashlyn Krueger | 76c | 199.02$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.76 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e0…5a1bbacked Mai Hontama | 9c | 172.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 215 | 33.5%72 W · 143 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…5e62backed Mai Hontama | 18c | 152.09$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 239 | 32.6%78 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Mai Hontama | 17c | 140.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Mai Hontama | 9c | 125.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Mai Hontama | 18c | 124.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Mai Hontama | 17c | 118$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 2,554 | 36.3%928 W · 1,626 L | -23.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Mai Hontama | 11c | 109.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9,161 | 36.1%3,309 W · 5,852 L | -202.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Mai Hontama | 13c | 109.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…e570backed Mai Hontama | 16c | 90$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 521 | 35.1%183 W · 338 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5e…f0c5backed Ashlyn Krueger | 75c | 38.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 232 | 72.8%169 W · 63 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Ashlyn Krueger | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 957 | 45.6%436 W · 521 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Ashlyn Krueger | 80c | 27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 834 | 57.1%476 W · 358 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5b…3b06backed Ashlyn Krueger | 79c | 21.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718b…1bf2backed Ashlyn Krueger | 75c | 18.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Ashlyn Krueger | 80c | 17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 1,106 | 60.2%666 W · 440 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Ashlyn Krueger vs Mai Hontamathis page
- Set 2 Winner: Krueger vs HontamaHontama won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.