Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: YFP Gaming vs FlyQuest - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x726e909b0a4d10f33c348295242b4c5280147f5e6a4ec3b5a957a4e005755bba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FlyQuestof YFP Gaming, FlyQuest
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked FlyQuest | 74c | 1,909$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.37 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed YFP Gaming | 28c | 923.12$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.07 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked YFP Gaming | 44c | 732.72$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.43 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed YFP Gaming | 39c | 519.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed FlyQuest | 55c | 416.92$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.61 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8227…0bccbacked FlyQuest | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed FlyQuest | 69c | 358.72$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.39 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed YFP Gaming | 45c | 285.29$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.38 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…7a8fbacked YFP Gaming | 31c | 270$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.86 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed YFP Gaming | 25c | 267.29$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.95 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked YFP Gaming | 38c | 245$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.31 | 240 | 32.1%77 W · 163 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x928a…8044backed FlyQuest | 62c | 243$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.34 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4371…0511backed FlyQuest | 62c | 161.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked YFP Gaming | 37c | 157.18$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.26 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked YFP Gaming | 27c | 156.74$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.94 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked YFP Gaming | 35c | 147.82$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.26 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked YFP Gaming | 24c | 147.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed YFP Gaming | 38c | 142.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.57 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked YFP Gaming | 45c | 131.63$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.23 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked YFP Gaming | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked YFP Gaming | 34c | 125.63$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.94 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed YFP Gaming | 38c | 113.15$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -9.0wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked FlyQuest | 78c | 110.95$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed FlyQuest | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9b…59eabacked FlyQuest | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed YFP Gaming | 59c | 97.55$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.38 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5454…ceadbacked FlyQuest | 76c | 78.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…49bbbacked FlyQuest | 37c | 78.71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.33 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked YFP Gaming | 63c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…cbaebacked FlyQuest | 69c | 57.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed YFP Gaming | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked FlyQuest | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed YFP Gaming | 31c | 41.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed YFP Gaming | 38c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed FlyQuest | 44c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: YFP Gaming vs FlyQuest - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: FQ (-1.5) vs YFP Gaming (+1.5)FlyQuest won
- Valorant: YFP Gaming vs FlyQuest (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 PlayoffsFlyQuest won
- Valorant: YFP Gaming vs FlyQuest - Map 2 WinnerFlyQuest won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.