Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: YFP Gaming vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6800399d1c1aa4f2c4fb5c55619086d4a45615680f3358c1779b708ccc365e60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FlyQuestof YFP Gaming, FlyQuest
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,485
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,485 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked YFP Gaming | 12c | 17,277$2,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,044.93 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3f…75cfbacked FlyQuest | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.99 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93f6…4814backed YFP Gaming | 45c | 8,263$3,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,721.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed YFP Gaming | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FlyQuest | 55c | 914.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.67 | 1,422 | 51.3%729 W · 693 L | +49.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…7a8fbacked YFP Gaming | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed YFP Gaming | 45c | 824$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.21 | 148 | 50%74 W · 74 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked YFP Gaming | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed YFP Gaming | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 1.9%1 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked YFP Gaming | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 63 | 0%0 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed YFP Gaming | 41c | 661.53$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.55 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…8796backed YFP Gaming | 60c | 655.85$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.95 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked YFP Gaming | 2c | 654.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FlyQuest | 58c | 560.85$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.32 | 1,365 | 38.9%531 W · 834 L | -60.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed FlyQuest | 60c | 557.03$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.81 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e35…2614backed YFP Gaming | 45c | 549.96$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.48 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked FlyQuest | 54c | 499.99$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.58 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FlyQuest | 55c | 421.45$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.65 | 1,380 | 47.1%650 W · 730 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed YFP Gaming | 45c | 257.6$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.92 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed FlyQuest | 55c | 257.6$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.92 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked FlyQuest | 31c | 223$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.67 | 1,612 | 45.1%727 W · 885 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked FlyQuest | 56c | 217.17$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.17 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9b…59eabacked FlyQuest | 33c | 198.61$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.61 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked FlyQuest | 30c | 162.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.49 | 1,312 | 43.8%575 W · 737 L | -44.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked FlyQuest | 37c | 157.62$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.87 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed YFP Gaming | 75c | 155.19$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.46 | 1,281 | 32.1%411 W · 870 L | -67.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed FlyQuest | 50c | 151.73$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.41 | 1,495 | 46.6%696 W · 799 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ade0backed FlyQuest | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed FlyQuest | 39c | 138.07$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.23 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked YFP Gaming | 47c | 134.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.19 | 240 | 32.1%77 W · 163 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71e7…1082backed YFP Gaming | 46c | 132.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed FlyQuest | 58c | 120$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +41%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed FlyQuest | 21c | 120$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.8 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed FlyQuest | 64c | 119.06$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.95 | 666 | 38%253 W · 413 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4371…0511backed YFP Gaming | 45c | 113.89$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked YFP Gaming | 14c | 104.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b5…8e32backed FlyQuest | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a27…f6febacked FlyQuest | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed FlyQuest | 52c | 91.16$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.71 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed YFP Gaming | 55c | 88.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.39 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5454…ceadbacked FlyQuest | 48c | 85.42$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.42 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed FlyQuest | 34c | 84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.34 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x310b…19ccbacked FlyQuest | 32c | 83.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.23 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +5.1wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked FlyQuest | 36c | 71.93$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.94 | 969 | 45%436 W · 533 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed FlyQuest | 57c | 69.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed YFP Gaming | 55c | 65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 999 | 45.9%459 W · 540 L | -27.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed FlyQuest | 55c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 89 | 66.3%59 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b5…a0d7backed FlyQuest | 27c | 54.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.7 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…febcbacked YFP Gaming | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed FlyQuest | 21c | 53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.87 | 126 | 33.3%42 W · 84 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked FlyQuest | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed YFP Gaming | 55c | 48.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed FlyQuest | 21c | 47.77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 158 | 39.2%62 W · 96 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed FlyQuest | 37c | 46.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed YFP Gaming | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…4cc3backed FlyQuest | 37c | 43.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed FlyQuest | 53c | 40.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed FlyQuest | 59c | 33.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked YFP Gaming | 68c | 28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 913 | 33.2%303 W · 610 L | -89.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…5568backed YFP Gaming | 49c | 26.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc161…bd88backed YFP Gaming | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…bddfbacked YFP Gaming | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked YFP Gaming | 42c | 24.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 155 | 12.3%19 W · 136 L | -27.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbc42…b12cbacked YFP Gaming | 49c | 21.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: YFP Gaming vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: FQ (-1.5) vs YFP Gaming (+1.5)FlyQuest won
- Valorant: YFP Gaming vs FlyQuest (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 PlayoffsFlyQuest won
- Valorant: YFP Gaming vs FlyQuest - Map 1 WinnerFlyQuest won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.