South American Leagues · resolved market
CF Cruz Azul vs. CD Guadalajara: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72937414e653fa28649e7f9ec6aedf779554b238cb871fe2de38c309a1061dc8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,127
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x69db…283abacked Yes | 59c | 1,191$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.64 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 42c | 1,122$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.55 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 1,087$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.78 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 53c | 779.58$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.92 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Yes | 47c | 536.27$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.27 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…d650backed Yes | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 473.33$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.67 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed No | 59c | 400$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 43c | 378.21$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.38 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 42c | 286.74$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.58 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x518b…cf8abacked Yes | 57c | 209.45$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.45 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x696c…dbe6backed Yes | 57c | 193.86$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.62 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ec…40edbacked Yes | 58c | 173.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.67 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e46…e394backed Yes | 58c | 173.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.62 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 42c | 162.73$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.7 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 58c | 121.64$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.64 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 52c | 83.47$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.57 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 42c | 51.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 41c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 57c | 39.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd427…5af0backed Yes | 58c | 35.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa837…2926backed Yes | 58c | 35.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 41c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a75…50a8backed Yes | 58c | 27.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea9…469bbacked Yes | 57c | 26.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb495…7c65backed Yes | 56c | 21.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5040…96cfbacked Yes | 57c | 19.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF Cruz Azul vs. CD Guadalajara: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CF Cruz Azul vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 2.5Over won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.